美国袭击伊朗的方式是…… ？
$152,719,795 交易量
Feb 1, 2026
2月2日
$1,801,851 交易量
1%
2月2日
$1,801,851 交易量
1%
2月3日
$575,136 交易量
2%
2月3日
$575,136 交易量
2%
2月4日
$323,751 交易量
3%
2月4日
$323,751 交易量
3%
2月5日
$462,189 交易量
4%
2月5日
$462,189 交易量
4%
2月6日
$2,659,885 交易量
7%
2月6日
$2,659,885 交易量
7%
2月13日
$1,936,985 交易量
17%
2月13日
$1,936,985 交易量
17%
2月28日
$5,664,597 交易量
30%
2月28日
$5,664,597 交易量
30%
3月31日
$4,855,744 交易量
43%
3月31日
$4,855,744 交易量
43%
6月30日
$2,726,769 交易量
56%
6月30日
$2,726,769 交易量
56%
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
创建于： Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
交易量
$152,719,795结束日期
Jun 30, 2026创建于
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
美国袭击伊朗的方式是…… ？
$152,719,795 交易量
2月2日
$1,801,851 交易量
1%
2月3日
$575,136 交易量
2%
2月4日
$323,751 交易量
3%
2月5日
$462,189 交易量
4%
2月6日
$2,659,885 交易量
7%
2月13日
$1,936,985 交易量
17%
2月28日
$5,664,597 交易量
30%
3月31日
$4,855,744 交易量
43%
6月30日
$2,726,769 交易量
56%
关于
交易量
$152,719,795结束日期
Jun 30, 2026创建于
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。