Trader consensus prices "No" at 85.5% reflecting the Trump administration's ongoing push for Ukraine-Russia peace talks without any formal US recognition of Moscow's territorial claims, including Crimea and occupied Donbas regions. Recent developments, such as Russia's contested April 2 claim of full control over Luhansk—denied by Kyiv—and Zelenskyy's March 26 allegation of US guarantees tied to Donbas cessions (promptly refuted by the White House), have not altered official US policy affirming Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity. Bipartisan congressional measures like the Non-Recognition of Russian Annexation Act reinforce barriers, while stalled negotiations and sustained sanctions signal low likelihood of reversal before 2027 absent a comprehensive deal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$28,081 交易量
$28,081 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$28,081 交易量
$28,081 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.Trader consensus prices "No" at 85.5% reflecting the Trump administration's ongoing push for Ukraine-Russia peace talks without any formal US recognition of Moscow's territorial claims, including Crimea and occupied Donbas regions. Recent developments, such as Russia's contested April 2 claim of full control over Luhansk—denied by Kyiv—and Zelenskyy's March 26 allegation of US guarantees tied to Donbas cessions (promptly refuted by the White House), have not altered official US policy affirming Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity. Bipartisan congressional measures like the Non-Recognition of Russian Annexation Act reinforce barriers, while stalled negotiations and sustained sanctions signal low likelihood of reversal before 2027 absent a comprehensive deal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$28,081结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.Trader consensus prices "No" at 85.5% reflecting the Trump administration's ongoing push for Ukraine-Russia peace talks without any formal US recognition of Moscow's territorial claims, including Crimea and occupied Donbas regions. Recent developments, such as Russia's contested April 2 claim of full control over Luhansk—denied by Kyiv—and Zelenskyy's March 26 allegation of US guarantees tied to Donbas cessions (promptly refuted by the White House), have not altered official US policy affirming Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity. Bipartisan congressional measures like the Non-Recognition of Russian Annexation Act reinforce barriers, while stalled negotiations and sustained sanctions signal low likelihood of reversal before 2027 absent a comprehensive deal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
交易量
$28,081结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 85.5% reflecting the Trump administration's ongoing push for Ukraine-Russia peace talks without any formal US recognition of Moscow's territorial claims, including Crimea and occupied Donbas regions. Recent developments, such as Russia's contested April 2 claim of full control over Luhansk—denied by Kyiv—and Zelenskyy's March 26 allegation of US guarantees tied to Donbas cessions (promptly refuted by the White House), have not altered official US policy affirming Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity. Bipartisan congressional measures like the Non-Recognition of Russian Annexation Act reinforce barriers, while stalled negotiations and sustained sanctions signal low likelihood of reversal before 2027 absent a comprehensive deal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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