Amid escalating US-Israel airstrikes on Iran, including the confirmed killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, the Pentagon is preparing for weeks of potential ground operations, with thousands of additional Marines, 82nd Airborne paratroopers, and Special Operations forces deploying to the Middle East. Reports indicate planning for missions to secure nuclear sites or coastal infrastructure like Kharg Island near the Strait of Hormuz, as US officials warn of depleting aerial targets. Iran has threatened severe retaliation against any US troops entering its territory, while President Trump touts progress in weakening Iranian capabilities. No ground entry has occurred as of early April, but trader consensus reflects anticipation of eventual boots-on-the-ground amid ongoing military buildup and diplomatic posturing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$102,273,337 交易量
2026-03-03
3月31日
<1%
4月30日
67%
12月31日
77%
$102,273,337 交易量
3月31日
$71,667,886 交易量
<1%
4月30日
$19,778,854 交易量
67%
12月31日
$8,790,010 交易量
77%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.Amid escalating US-Israel airstrikes on Iran, including the confirmed killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, the Pentagon is preparing for weeks of potential ground operations, with thousands of additional Marines, 82nd Airborne paratroopers, and Special Operations forces deploying to the Middle East. Reports indicate planning for missions to secure nuclear sites or coastal infrastructure like Kharg Island near the Strait of Hormuz, as US officials warn of depleting aerial targets. Iran has threatened severe retaliation against any US troops entering its territory, while President Trump touts progress in weakening Iranian capabilities. No ground entry has occurred as of early April, but trader consensus reflects anticipation of eventual boots-on-the-ground amid ongoing military buildup and diplomatic posturing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
交易量
$102,273,337市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.Amid escalating US-Israel airstrikes on Iran, including the confirmed killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, the Pentagon is preparing for weeks of potential ground operations, with thousands of additional Marines, 82nd Airborne paratroopers, and Special Operations forces deploying to the Middle East. Reports indicate planning for missions to secure nuclear sites or coastal infrastructure like Kharg Island near the Strait of Hormuz, as US officials warn of depleting aerial targets. Iran has threatened severe retaliation against any US troops entering its territory, while President Trump touts progress in weakening Iranian capabilities. No ground entry has occurred as of early April, but trader consensus reflects anticipation of eventual boots-on-the-ground amid ongoing military buildup and diplomatic posturing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$102,273,337市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Amid escalating US-Israel airstrikes on Iran, including the confirmed killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, the Pentagon is preparing for weeks of potential ground operations, with thousands of additional Marines, 82nd Airborne paratroopers, and Special Operations forces deploying to the Middle East. Reports indicate planning for missions to secure nuclear sites or coastal infrastructure like Kharg Island near the Strait of Hormuz, as US officials warn of depleting aerial targets. Iran has threatened severe retaliation against any US troops entering its territory, while President Trump touts progress in weakening Iranian capabilities. No ground entry has occurred as of early April, but trader consensus reflects anticipation of eventual boots-on-the-ground amid ongoing military buildup and diplomatic posturing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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