Liberal candidate Danielle Martin clinched victory in the University—Rosedale federal by-election held April 13, propelling trader consensus to 100% on her as the winner and resolving the Polymarket accordingly. The downtown Toronto riding, vacated by former Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, saw Martin—a family physician and health advocate—secure roughly 64% of votes in unofficial tallies, far ahead of Conservative Don Hodgson (12%), NDP's Serena Purdy (19%), People's Party's Andy D’Andrea, and others including Samuel Baxter. This Liberal hold in a traditional stronghold delivers Prime Minister Mark Carney's government a 172nd seat and majority status in the House of Commons. Realistic challenges, such as a judicial recount or legal dispute over irregularities, appear improbable given her decisive margin exceeding 20 points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Danielle Martin 100.0%
Imran Khan <1%
Andy D’Andrea <1%
Leslie Bory <1%
$88,908 交易量
$88,908 交易量
Imran Khan
No
Andy D’Andrea
No
Leslie Bory
No
Bill Whatcott
No
Danielle Martin
Yes
Don Hodgson
No
Serena Purdy
No
Andrew Massey
No
Samuel Baxter
No
Raiden DeDominicis
No
Danielle Martin 100.0%
Imran Khan <1%
Andy D’Andrea <1%
Leslie Bory <1%
$88,908 交易量
$88,908 交易量
Imran Khan
No
Andy D’Andrea
No
Leslie Bory
No
Bill Whatcott
No
Danielle Martin
Yes
Don Hodgson
No
Serena Purdy
No
Andrew Massey
No
Samuel Baxter
No
Raiden DeDominicis
No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Liberal candidate Danielle Martin clinched victory in the University—Rosedale federal by-election held April 13, propelling trader consensus to 100% on her as the winner and resolving the Polymarket accordingly. The downtown Toronto riding, vacated by former Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, saw Martin—a family physician and health advocate—secure roughly 64% of votes in unofficial tallies, far ahead of Conservative Don Hodgson (12%), NDP's Serena Purdy (19%), People's Party's Andy D’Andrea, and others including Samuel Baxter. This Liberal hold in a traditional stronghold delivers Prime Minister Mark Carney's government a 172nd seat and majority status in the House of Commons. Realistic challenges, such as a judicial recount or legal dispute over irregularities, appear improbable given her decisive margin exceeding 20 points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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