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Trump wins 306-232 - AZ, GA, MI, PA, WI, NC

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Trump wins 306-232 - AZ, GA, MI, PA, WI, NC

1% chance
Polymarket

$61,513 交易量

1% chance
Polymarket

$61,513 交易量

Note: This market is about Donald Trump winning with exactly 306 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump+306.png.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump secures exactly 306 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts:

Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (11), Arkansas (6), Florida (30), Georgia (16), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (1), Michigan (15), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska (4 out of 5 electoral votes excluding Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District), North Carolina (16), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), Pennsylvania (19), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wisconsin (10), Wyoming (3).

If Donald Trump does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 306 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No."

A candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes. Faithless electors will not be considered.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.
交易量
$61,513
结束日期
Nov 5, 2024
市场开放时间
Oct 29, 2024, 6:57 PM ET
Note: This market is about Donald Trump winning with exactly 306 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump+306.png. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump secures exactly 306 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts: Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (11), Arkansas (6), Florida (30), Georgia (16), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (1), Michigan (15), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska (4 out of 5 electoral votes excluding Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District), North Carolina (16), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), Pennsylvania (19), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wisconsin (10), Wyoming (3). If Donald Trump does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 306 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No." A candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes. Faithless electors will not be considered. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

Note: This market is about Donald Trump winning with exactly 306 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump+306.png.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump secures exactly 306 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts:

Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (11), Arkansas (6), Florida (30), Georgia (16), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (1), Michigan (15), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska (4 out of 5 electoral votes excluding Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District), North Carolina (16), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), Pennsylvania (19), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wisconsin (10), Wyoming (3).

If Donald Trump does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 306 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No."

A candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes. Faithless electors will not be considered.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.
交易量
$61,513
结束日期
Nov 5, 2024
市场开放时间
Oct 29, 2024, 6:57 PM ET
Note: This market is about Donald Trump winning with exactly 306 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump+306.png. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump secures exactly 306 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts: Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (11), Arkansas (6), Florida (30), Georgia (16), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (1), Michigan (15), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Nebraska (4 out of 5 electoral votes excluding Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District), North Carolina (16), North Dakota (3), Ohio (17), Oklahoma (7), Pennsylvania (19), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (40), Utah (6), West Virginia (4), Wisconsin (10), Wyoming (3). If Donald Trump does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 306 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No." A candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes. Faithless electors will not be considered. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Trump wins 306-232 - AZ, GA, MI, PA, WI, NC "是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 0¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Trump wins 306-232 - AZ, GA, MI, PA, WI, NC "已产生 $61.5K 的总交易量(自Oct 29, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Trump wins 306-232 - AZ, GA, MI, PA, WI, NC "上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Trump wins 306-232 - AZ, GA, MI, PA, WI, NC "的当前概率为 0%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Trump wins 306-232 - AZ, GA, MI, PA, WI, NC "的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。