Market icon

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Market icon

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

$19,919,327 交易量

Apr 29, 2025
Polymarket

$19,919,327 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

Sam Bankman-Fried

$2,009,458 交易量

No

Market icon

Eric Adams

$993,621 交易量

No

Market icon

Steve Bannon

$805,284 交易量

No

Market icon

Roger Ver

$1,466,254 交易量

No

Market icon

Julian Assange

$564,823 交易量

No

Market icon

Himself

$1,087,167 交易量

No

Market icon

January 6 protestor

$756,779 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Ross Ulbricht

$6,087,387 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Diddy

$1,401,581 交易量

No

Market icon

Elon Musk

$568,855 交易量

No

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$1,312,596 交易量

No

Market icon

Young Thug

$115,127 交易量

No

Market icon

Edward Snowden

$1,889,164 交易量

No

Market icon

Matt Gaetz

$236,254 交易量

No

Market icon

Daniel Penny

$67,404 交易量

No

Market icon

Rudy Giuliani

$199,945 交易量

No

Market icon

Roger Stone

$32,880 交易量

No

Market icon

Bob Menendez

$66,747 交易量

No

Market icon

Rod Blagojevich

$270 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Joe Exotic "The Tiger King"

$19,793 交易量

No

Market icon

Derek Chauvin

$133,067 交易量

No

Market icon

CZ

$104,870 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Eric Adams is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Bannon receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Steve Bannon is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Ver receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Roger Ver is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julian Assange receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Julian Assange is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Donald Trump is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump, specifically related to their actions on that date, by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if creator of Silk Road, Ross William Ulbricht, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Ulbricht is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean John Combs (Diddy), receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Combs is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Elon Musk is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Hunter Biden is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeffery Lamar Williams Jr., aka Young Thug, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Young Thug is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Edward Snowden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Edward Snowden is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Matt Gaetz receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Matt Gaetz is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Penny receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Daniel Penny is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rudy Giuliani receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Rudy Giuliani is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Stone receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Roger Stone is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bob Menendez receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Menendez is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rod Blagojevich receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Rod Blagojevich is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joseph Allen Maldonado receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Joseph Allen Maldonado is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Derek Chauvin receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Joseph Allen Maldonado is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Changpeng Zhao receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Changpeng Zhao is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean John Combs (Diddy), receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether Combs is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$19,919,327
结束日期
Apr 29, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 6, 2024, 11:19 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean John Combs (Diddy), receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Combs is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Eric Adams is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Bannon receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Steve Bannon is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Ver receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Roger Ver is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julian Assange receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Julian Assange is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Donald Trump is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump, specifically related to their actions on that date, by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if creator of Silk Road, Ross William Ulbricht, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Ulbricht is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean John Combs (Diddy), receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Combs is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Elon Musk is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Hunter Biden is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeffery Lamar Williams Jr., aka Young Thug, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Young Thug is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Edward Snowden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Edward Snowden is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Matt Gaetz receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Matt Gaetz is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Penny receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Daniel Penny is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rudy Giuliani receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Rudy Giuliani is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Stone receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Roger Stone is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bob Menendez receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Menendez is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rod Blagojevich receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Rod Blagojevich is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joseph Allen Maldonado receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Joseph Allen Maldonado is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Derek Chauvin receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Joseph Allen Maldonado is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Changpeng Zhao receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Changpeng Zhao is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 22 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"January 6 protestor",概率为 100%,其次是"Ross Ulbricht",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?"已产生 $19.9 million 的总交易量(自Nov 6, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 22 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?"的当前领先者是"January 6 protestor",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Ross Ulbricht",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。