Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), driven by reports from the past week indicating the company aims to file its IPO prospectus imminently, potentially raising a record $75 billion. This surge in sentiment follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion—fueled by Starlink's commercial satellite internet dominance, now comprising the vast majority of revenue—and earlier Financial Times reporting of a mid-2026 listing target around $1.5 trillion. Starship's reusable architecture promises exponential mass-to-orbit gains, bolstering valuation upside, while Falcon 9's reliability sustains launch cadence. Lower brackets reflect risks like regulatory delays or market conditions, with filing confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1.869T
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.7%
$1,513,665 交易量
$1,513,665 交易量
<1.0T
2%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3.5万亿+
2%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.7%
$1,513,665 交易量
$1,513,665 交易量
<1.0T
$13,324 交易量
2%
1.0T-1.5T
$8,969 交易量
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$12,163 交易量
52%
2.0T-2.5T
$13,323 交易量
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$768,690 交易量
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$432,430 交易量
3%
3.5万亿+
$28,691 交易量
2%
No IPO before 2028
$236,103 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), driven by reports from the past week indicating the company aims to file its IPO prospectus imminently, potentially raising a record $75 billion. This surge in sentiment follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion—fueled by Starlink's commercial satellite internet dominance, now comprising the vast majority of revenue—and earlier Financial Times reporting of a mid-2026 listing target around $1.5 trillion. Starship's reusable architecture promises exponential mass-to-orbit gains, bolstering valuation upside, while Falcon 9's reliability sustains launch cadence. Lower brackets reflect risks like regulatory delays or market conditions, with filing confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
交易量
$1,513,665市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), driven by reports from the past week indicating the company aims to file its IPO prospectus imminently, potentially raising a record $75 billion. This surge in sentiment follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion—fueled by Starlink's commercial satellite internet dominance, now comprising the vast majority of revenue—and earlier Financial Times reporting of a mid-2026 listing target around $1.5 trillion. Starship's reusable architecture promises exponential mass-to-orbit gains, bolstering valuation upside, while Falcon 9's reliability sustains launch cadence. Lower brackets reflect risks like regulatory delays or market conditions, with filing confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,513,665市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), driven by reports from the past week indicating the company aims to file its IPO prospectus imminently, potentially raising a record $75 billion. This surge in sentiment follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion—fueled by Starlink's commercial satellite internet dominance, now comprising the vast majority of revenue—and earlier Financial Times reporting of a mid-2026 listing target around $1.5 trillion. Starship's reusable architecture promises exponential mass-to-orbit gains, bolstering valuation upside, while Falcon 9's reliability sustains launch cadence. Lower brackets reflect risks like regulatory delays or market conditions, with filing confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题