Paramount Skydance's February 27, 2026, announcement of a definitive $110 billion merger agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery has driven its 77% trader consensus, following Netflix's decision not to raise its bid and exit the contest. Warner Bros. Discovery scheduled a shareholder vote for April 23, 2026, to approve the transaction, with plans for $6 billion in cost synergies via tech consolidation and overhead cuts, despite $79 billion in combined debt. Recent California regulatory pushback on antitrust grounds and Hollywood opposition account for the 21.5% "None by June 30, 2027" odds, as FCC comments suggest a smoother path than alternatives but uncertainties persist ahead of approvals. Netflix and Comcast trail at minimal probabilities after withdrawing from bidding.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于派拉蒙 77%
截至2027年6月30日无 21%
Netflix <1%
康卡斯特 <1%
$971,966 交易量
$971,966 交易量
派拉蒙
77%
截至2027年6月30日无
21%
Netflix
<1%
康卡斯特
<1%
派拉蒙 77%
截至2027年6月30日无 21%
Netflix <1%
康卡斯特 <1%
$971,966 交易量
$971,966 交易量
派拉蒙
77%
截至2027年6月30日无
21%
Netflix
<1%
康卡斯特
<1%
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
市场开放时间: Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Paramount Skydance's February 27, 2026, announcement of a definitive $110 billion merger agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery has driven its 77% trader consensus, following Netflix's decision not to raise its bid and exit the contest. Warner Bros. Discovery scheduled a shareholder vote for April 23, 2026, to approve the transaction, with plans for $6 billion in cost synergies via tech consolidation and overhead cuts, despite $79 billion in combined debt. Recent California regulatory pushback on antitrust grounds and Hollywood opposition account for the 21.5% "None by June 30, 2027" odds, as FCC comments suggest a smoother path than alternatives but uncertainties persist ahead of approvals. Netflix and Comcast trail at minimal probabilities after withdrawing from bidding.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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