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Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Market icon

Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Dan 6–12% 100.0%

Simion >18% <1%

Simion 12–18% <1%

Simion 6–12% <1%

Polymarket

$34,330,747 交易量

Dan 6–12% 100.0%

Simion >18% <1%

Simion 12–18% <1%

Simion 6–12% <1%

Polymarket

$34,330,747 交易量

Market icon

Simion >18%

$3,108,866 交易量

No

Market icon

Simion 12–18%

$2,286,247 交易量

No

Market icon

Simion 6–12%

$2,095,503 交易量

No

Market icon

Simion 0–6%

$3,328,727 交易量

No

Market icon

Dan 0–6%

$6,483,478 交易量

No

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Dan 6–12%

$6,494,332 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Dan >12%

$7,891,267 交易量

No

Market icon

Other

$2,642,327 交易量

No

The runoff for the Romanian presidential election is scheduled for May 18, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Romanian Presidential Election runoff.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Romanian Presidential Election runoff.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once it has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, or if the runoff is permanently canceled, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
交易量
$34,330,747
结束日期
May 18, 2025
市场开放时间
May 4, 2025, 9:32 PM ET
The runoff for the Romanian presidential election is scheduled for May 18, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Romanian Presidential Election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Romanian Presidential Election runoff. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once it has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, or if the runoff is permanently canceled, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Dan 6–12%",概率为 100%,其次是"Simion >18%",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory"已产生 $34.3 million 的总交易量(自May 5, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory"的当前领先者是"Dan 6–12%",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Simion >18%",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。