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2028年共和党总统候选人

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2028年共和党总统候选人

J.D. Vance 36.9%

分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥 21.1%

塔克·卡尔森 5.2%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.9%

Polymarket

$482,243,442 交易量

J.D. Vance 36.9%

分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥 21.1%

塔克·卡尔森 5.2%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯 2.9%

Polymarket

$482,243,442 交易量

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J.D. Vance

$6,710,962 交易量

37%

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分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥

$6,529,743 交易量

21%

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塔克·卡尔森

$7,095,054 交易量

5%

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罗恩·德桑蒂斯

$7,773,482 交易量

3%

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唐纳德·特朗普

$6,194,346 交易量

2%

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唐纳德·特朗普 Jr.

$5,803,249 交易量

2%

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托马斯·马西

$2,636,798 交易量

2%

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格伦·扬金

$5,497,594 交易量

1%

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Rand Paul

$15,903,803 交易量

1%

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维克·拉马斯瓦米

$12,248,841 交易量

1%

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伊万卡·特朗普

$4,842,269 交易量

1%

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泰德·克鲁茨

$13,811,448 交易量

1%

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分组项标题:埃隆·马斯克

$21,585,267 交易量

1%

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玛乔里·泰勒·格林

$3,840,700 交易量

1%

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分组项标题:妮基·黑利

$7,056,275 交易量

1%

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格雷格·艾博特

$17,103,156 交易量

1%

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塔尔西·加巴德尔

$8,862,569 交易量

1%

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分组项标题:马特·盖茨

$15,069,540 交易量

1%

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罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世

$10,808,851 交易量

1%

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布赖恩·肯普

$12,752,774 交易量

1%

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埃里克·特朗普

$3,768,379 交易量

1%

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莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$27,862,414 交易量

1%

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乔什·霍利

$15,419,586 交易量

1%

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凯蒂·布里特

$24,176,823 交易量

1%

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克里斯蒂·诺姆

$27,715,095 交易量

1%

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皮特·赫格塞斯

$1,261,406 交易量

1%

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分组项标题:Elise Stefanik

$21,113,105 交易量

1%

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约翰·桑恩

$28,527,986 交易量

1%

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乔·肯特

$1,641,703 交易量

1%

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分组项标题:汤姆·布雷迪

$27,453,299 交易量

1%

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斯蒂夫·班农

$14,421,303 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$22,555,573 交易量

1%

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拜伦·唐纳斯

$32,634,489 交易量

1%

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埃里卡·柯克

$9,702,600 交易量

1%

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迈克·彭斯

$31,869,041 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. commands 49% trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his prominent role implementing the Make America Healthy Again agenda, visibility in the Trump administration, and March 7 speculation from cousin Jack Schlossberg confirming a likely bid leveraging his health reform platform. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds slipping recently amid reports of his hesitation on a run amid foreign policy strains like the Iran conflict and donor surveys where President Trump polled allies favoring Secretary of State Marco Rubio (now 21%) over Vance. Term limits bar Trump's reelection, keeping the open primary competitive ahead of 2026 midterms.

HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. commands 49% trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his prominent role implementing the Make America Healthy Again agenda, visibility in the Trump administration, and March 7 speculation from cousin Jack Schlossberg confirming a likely bid leveraging his health reform platform. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds slipping recently amid reports of his hesitation on a run amid foreign policy strains like the Iran conflict and donor surveys where President Trump polled allies favoring Secretary of State Marco Rubio (now 21%) over Vance. Term limits bar Trump's reelection, keeping the open primary competitive ahead of 2026 midterms.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. commands 49% trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his prominent role implementing the Make America Healthy Again agenda, visibility in the Trump administration, and March 7 speculation from cousin Jack Schlossberg confirming a likely bid leveraging his health reform platform. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds slipping recently amid reports of his hesitation on a run amid foreign policy strains like the Iran conflict and donor surveys where President Trump polled allies favoring Secretary of State Marco Rubio (now 21%) over Vance. Term limits bar Trump's reelection, keeping the open primary competitive ahead of 2026 midterms.

HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. commands 49% trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his prominent role implementing the Make America Healthy Again agenda, visibility in the Trump administration, and March 7 speculation from cousin Jack Schlossberg confirming a likely bid leveraging his health reform platform. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 37%, with odds slipping recently amid reports of his hesitation on a run amid foreign policy strains like the Iran conflict and donor surveys where President Trump polled allies favoring Secretary of State Marco Rubio (now 21%) over Vance. Term limits bar Trump's reelection, keeping the open primary competitive ahead of 2026 midterms.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2028年共和党总统候选人"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 35 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"J.D. Vance",概率为 37%,其次是"分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥",概率为 21%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 37¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 37%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2028年共和党总统候选人"已产生 $482.2 million 的总交易量(自Jul 11, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2028年共和党总统候选人"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 35 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2028年共和党总统候选人"的当前领先者是"J.D. Vance",概率为 37%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 37%。紧随其后的结果是"分组项标题:马科·鲁比奥",概率为 21%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2028年共和党总统候选人"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。