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Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Market icon

Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

GOP by 1-2% 100.0%

GOP by 7% or more <1%

GOP by 6-7% <1%

GOP by 5-6% <1%

Polymarket

$124,038,744 交易量

GOP by 1-2% 100.0%

GOP by 7% or more <1%

GOP by 6-7% <1%

GOP by 5-6% <1%

Polymarket

$124,038,744 交易量

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GOP by 7% or more

$7,624,129 交易量

No

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GOP by 6-7%

$5,113,328 交易量

No

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GOP by 5-6%

$3,599,831 交易量

No

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GOP by 4-5%

$8,672,935 交易量

No

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GOP by 3-4%

$15,905,192 交易量

No

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GOP by 2-3%

$7,125,731 交易量

No

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GOP by 1-2%

$5,291,055 交易量

Yes

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GOP by 0-1%

$8,452,706 交易量

No

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Dems by 0-1%

$3,943,069 交易量

No

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Dems by 1-2%

$12,680,743 交易量

No

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Dems by 2-3%

$7,582,278 交易量

No

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Dems by 3-4%

$2,272,794 交易量

No

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Dems by 4-5%

$2,240,607 交易量

No

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Dems by 5-6%

$3,538,088 交易量

No

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Dems by 6-7%

$2,410,265 交易量

No

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Dems by 7% or more

$20,419,617 交易量

No

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Other

$7,166,378 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 7% or more of the popular vote when compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all States and D.C. have certified their votes.
交易量
$124,038,744
结束日期
Jan 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2024, 2:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 7% or more of the popular vote when compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all States and D.C. have certified their votes.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Popular Vote Margin of Victory?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"GOP by 1-2%",概率为 100%,其次是"GOP by 7% or more",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Popular Vote Margin of Victory?"已产生 $124 million 的总交易量(自Aug 8, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Popular Vote Margin of Victory?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Popular Vote Margin of Victory?"的当前领先者是"GOP by 1-2%",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"GOP by 7% or more",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Popular Vote Margin of Victory?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。