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政治·冰

OH-09共和党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·冰

OH-09共和党初选获胜者

德里克·梅林 56%

麦迪逊·希汉 16%

Josh Williams 13.7%

Alea Nadeem 7.5%

Polymarket
最新

德里克·梅林 56%

麦迪逊·希汉 16%

Josh Williams 13.7%

Alea Nadeem 7.5%

Polymarket
最新

德里克·梅林

$2,752 交易量

56%

麦迪逊·希汉

$1,895 交易量

16%

Josh Williams

$699 交易量

14%

Alea Nadeem

$731 交易量

8%

Wayne Kinsel

$351 交易量

7%

安东尼·坎贝尔

$428 交易量

1%

雅各布·弗罗斯特

$547 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin's trader consensus lead at 58.5% in the OH-09 Republican primary stems from his name recognition as a former state representative, Waterville mayor, and 2024 challenger to incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur, bolstered by local ties in the redrawn R-leaning district. Recent momentum favors state Rep. Josh Williams at 15.6%, who topped Q4 fundraising among GOP contenders, secured endorsements from Ohio Treasurer Robert Sprague and Secretary of State Frank LaRose, and surged in a late March Greater Toledo Area Right to Life forum straw poll, gaining from 109 to 155 votes post-forum. Madison Sheahan at 16.0% draws national appeal from her Trump-era ICE deputy role and Maggie's List backing but faces local GOP residency scrutiny. With the May 5 primary nearing, Williams' debate challenges and phone banking efforts signal tightening competition.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$7,403
结束日期
2026-05-05
市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin's trader consensus lead at 58.5% in the OH-09 Republican primary stems from his name recognition as a former state representative, Waterville mayor, and 2024 challenger to incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur, bolstered by local ties in the redrawn R-leaning district. Recent momentum favors state Rep. Josh Williams at 15.6%, who topped Q4 fundraising among GOP contenders, secured endorsements from Ohio Treasurer Robert Sprague and Secretary of State Frank LaRose, and surged in a late March Greater Toledo Area Right to Life forum straw poll, gaining from 109 to 155 votes post-forum. Madison Sheahan at 16.0% draws national appeal from her Trump-era ICE deputy role and Maggie's List backing but faces local GOP residency scrutiny. With the May 5 primary nearing, Williams' debate challenges and phone banking efforts signal tightening competition.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$7,403
结束日期
2026-05-05
市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"OH-09共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"德里克·梅林"，概率为 56%，其次是"麦迪逊·希汉"，概率为 16%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 56¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 56%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"OH-09共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Jan 21, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"OH-09共和党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"OH-09共和党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"德里克·梅林"，概率为 56%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 56%。紧随其后的结果是"麦迪逊·希汉"，概率为 16%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"OH-09共和党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。