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什么事都没发生:特朗普赦免特别版

Market icon

什么事都没发生:特朗普赦免特别版

>99% chance
Polymarket

$29,406 交易量

>99% chance
Polymarket

$29,406 交易量

This market will resolve to "No" if any of the listed people receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

The listed individuals are:
- Diddy
- Ghislaine Maxwell
- Sam Bankman-Fried
- Elizabeth Holmes
- Derek Chauvin

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$29,406
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 4, 2025, 10:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "No" if any of the listed people receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The listed individuals are: - Diddy - Ghislaine Maxwell - Sam Bankman-Fried - Elizabeth Holmes - Derek Chauvin Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

This market will resolve to "No" if any of the listed people receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

The listed individuals are:
- Diddy
- Ghislaine Maxwell
- Sam Bankman-Fried
- Elizabeth Holmes
- Derek Chauvin

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$29,406
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 4, 2025, 10:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "No" if any of the listed people receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The listed individuals are: - Diddy - Ghislaine Maxwell - Sam Bankman-Fried - Elizabeth Holmes - Derek Chauvin Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"什么事都没发生:特朗普赦免特别版" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "什么都没有发生:特朗普赦免版" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "什么事都没发生:特朗普赦免特别版" has generated $29.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "什么事都没发生:特朗普赦免特别版," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "什么事都没发生:特朗普赦免特别版" is "什么都没有发生:特朗普赦免版" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "什么事都没发生:特朗普赦免特别版" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.