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Next leader out of power before 2027?

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Next leader out of power before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

欧尔班 - 匈牙利总理 33%

迪亚斯-卡内尔 - 古巴总统 31%

斯塔默 - 英国首相 11%

泽连斯基 - 乌克兰总统 5.0%

Polymarket

$48,186 交易量

欧尔班 - 匈牙利总理 33%

迪亚斯-卡内尔 - 古巴总统 31%

斯塔默 - 英国首相 11%

泽连斯基 - 乌克兰总统 5.0%

Polymarket

$48,186 交易量

欧尔班 - 匈牙利总理

$2,437 交易量

33%

迪亚斯-卡内尔 - 古巴总统

$2,252 交易量

31%

斯塔默 - 英国首相

$2,994 交易量

11%

泽连斯基 - 乌克兰总统

$1,810 交易量

5%

梅尔茨 - 德国总理

$1,683 交易量

5%

特朗普 - 美国总统

$1,891 交易量

4%

沙拉 - 叙利亚总统

$1,577 交易量

3%

2027年之前没有

$1,520 交易量

3%

桑切斯 - 西班牙首相

$1,495 交易量

3%

罗德里格斯 - 委内瑞拉代理总统

$2,375 交易量

3%

谢恩鲍姆 - 墨西哥总统

$2,056 交易量

3%

马克龙 - 法国总统

$1,765 交易量

2%

普京 - 俄罗斯总统

$2,412 交易量

2%

佩特罗 - 哥伦比亚总统

$2,059 交易量

2%

勒科尔努 - 法国总理

$1,790 交易量

2%

内塔尼亚胡 - 以色列总理

$2,260 交易量

2%

埃尔多安 - 土耳其总统

$2,059 交易量

2%

阿巴斯——巴勒斯坦总统

$1,975 交易量

2%

金正恩 - 朝鲜最高领导人

$1,623 交易量

2%

高市早苗 - 日本首相

$1,477 交易量

1%

卢拉·达席尔瓦 - 巴西总统

$2,167 交易量

1%

习近平 - 中共中央总书记

$1,496 交易量

1%

纽森 - 加利福尼亚州州长

$1,519 交易量

1%

米莱 - 阿根廷总统

$1,493 交易量

1%

阿尔巴尼斯 - 澳大利亚总理

$2,000 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$48,186
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next leader out of power before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "欧尔班 - 匈牙利总理" at 33%, followed by "迪亚斯-卡内尔 - 古巴总统" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next leader out of power before 2027?" has generated $48.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next leader out of power before 2027?," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next leader out of power before 2027?" is "欧尔班 - 匈牙利总理" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "迪亚斯-卡内尔 - 古巴总统" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next leader out of power before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.