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Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?

Market icon

Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$97,844 交易量

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$97,844 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Employment Situation report before the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is no longer shut down following the shutdown that began on October 1, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Partial shutdowns are considered shutdowns, whereas announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as shutdowns. Both a full release of the monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate) and an official release of the underlying data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If the Bureau of Labor Statistics cancels the release or is otherwise rendered incapable of releasing it by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics official release as well as the OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/); however, a consensus of credible sources will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Employment Situation report before the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is no longer shut down following the shutdown that began on October 1, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Partial shutdowns are considered shutdowns, whereas announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as shutdowns.

Both a full release of the monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate) and an official release of the underlying data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics cancels the release or is otherwise rendered incapable of releasing it by that time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics official release as well as the OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/); however, a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
交易量
$97,844
结束日期
2025-12-31
市场开放时间
Oct 7, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Employment Situation report before the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is no longer shut down following the shutdown that began on October 1, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Partial shutdowns are considered shutdowns, whereas announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as shutdowns. Both a full release of the monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate) and an official release of the underlying data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If the Bureau of Labor Statistics cancels the release or is otherwise rendered incapable of releasing it by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics official release as well as the OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/); however, a consensus of credible sources will also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Employment Situation report before the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is no longer shut down following the shutdown that began on October 1, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Partial shutdowns are considered shutdowns, whereas announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as shutdowns. Both a full release of the monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate) and an official release of the underlying data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If the Bureau of Labor Statistics cancels the release or is otherwise rendered incapable of releasing it by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics official release as well as the OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/); however, a consensus of credible sources will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Employment Situation report before the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is no longer shut down following the shutdown that began on October 1, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Partial shutdowns are considered shutdowns, whereas announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as shutdowns.

Both a full release of the monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate) and an official release of the underlying data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics cancels the release or is otherwise rendered incapable of releasing it by that time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics official release as well as the OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/); however, a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
交易量
$97,844
结束日期
2025-12-31
市场开放时间
Oct 7, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Employment Situation report before the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is no longer shut down following the shutdown that began on October 1, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Partial shutdowns are considered shutdowns, whereas announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as shutdowns. Both a full release of the monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate) and an official release of the underlying data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If the Bureau of Labor Statistics cancels the release or is otherwise rendered incapable of releasing it by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bureau of Labor Statistics official release as well as the OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/); however, a consensus of credible sources will also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场，交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%（"Yes"）。例如，如果"是"的价格为 0¢，则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?"已产生 $97.8K 的总交易量（自Oct 7, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?"上交易，只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是"，每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否"，你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?"的当前概率为 0%（"Yes"）。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新，持续提供市场预期信号。

"Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。