The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$67 交易量
92%
民主党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$67结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$67结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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