Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with incumbent Bob Onder positioned as the clear frontrunner for the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary. Recent candidate filings and early fundraising reports show Onder maintaining a substantial financial edge over primary challenger John Fraser, while Democratic contenders including Bethany Mann and Tommy Holstein compete in a crowded field that has yet to consolidate. The district’s established partisan voting patterns, reinforced by Missouri’s congressional map, continue to shape trader assessments, leaving limited room for Democratic gains absent a major shift in national conditions or an unexpected development affecting the incumbent’s campaign. Primary outcomes and any late-cycle endorsements could still influence general-election dynamics, though historical precedent in similar districts suggests the Republican nominee will hold a strong advantage through November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$67 交易量
92%
民主党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with incumbent Bob Onder positioned as the clear frontrunner for the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary. Recent candidate filings and early fundraising reports show Onder maintaining a substantial financial edge over primary challenger John Fraser, while Democratic contenders including Bethany Mann and Tommy Holstein compete in a crowded field that has yet to consolidate. The district’s established partisan voting patterns, reinforced by Missouri’s congressional map, continue to shape trader assessments, leaving limited room for Democratic gains absent a major shift in national conditions or an unexpected development affecting the incumbent’s campaign. Primary outcomes and any late-cycle endorsements could still influence general-election dynamics, though historical precedent in similar districts suggests the Republican nominee will hold a strong advantage through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$67结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with incumbent Bob Onder positioned as the clear frontrunner for the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary. Recent candidate filings and early fundraising reports show Onder maintaining a substantial financial edge over primary challenger John Fraser, while Democratic contenders including Bethany Mann and Tommy Holstein compete in a crowded field that has yet to consolidate. The district’s established partisan voting patterns, reinforced by Missouri’s congressional map, continue to shape trader assessments, leaving limited room for Democratic gains absent a major shift in national conditions or an unexpected development affecting the incumbent’s campaign. Primary outcomes and any late-cycle endorsements could still influence general-election dynamics, though historical precedent in similar districts suggests the Republican nominee will hold a strong advantage through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$67结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with incumbent Bob Onder positioned as the clear frontrunner for the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary. Recent candidate filings and early fundraising reports show Onder maintaining a substantial financial edge over primary challenger John Fraser, while Democratic contenders including Bethany Mann and Tommy Holstein compete in a crowded field that has yet to consolidate. The district’s established partisan voting patterns, reinforced by Missouri’s congressional map, continue to shape trader assessments, leaving limited room for Democratic gains absent a major shift in national conditions or an unexpected development affecting the incumbent’s campaign. Primary outcomes and any late-cycle endorsements could still influence general-election dynamics, though historical precedent in similar districts suggests the Republican nominee will hold a strong advantage through November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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