Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 78% implied probability to win the Minnesota Republican Senate primary on August 13, driven by her high-profile June 27 campaign launch as a former ESPN commentator and conservative podcaster, which has quickly elevated her above a fragmented field lacking strong polling or fundraising from rivals. Recent momentum stems from her emphasis on border security, economic issues, and Trump-aligned messaging, appealing to GOP base voters amid sparse recent surveys showing no clear frontrunner beforehand. Adam Schwarze and Raymond Petersen trail at 9% and 7%, reflecting limited name recognition, while Royce White's earlier buzz has faded due to organizational challenges; upcoming endorsements or debates could shift the closely watched nomination path against incumbent Sen. Amy Klobuchar.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于米歇尔·塔福亚 78%
亚当·施瓦泽 9.3%
雷蒙德·彼得森 8.4%
罗伊斯·怀特 3.5%
$25,944 交易量
$25,944 交易量
Aug 11, 2026
米歇尔·塔福亚
78%
亚当·施瓦泽
9%
雷蒙德·彼得森
8%
罗伊斯·怀特
3%
迈克·鲁霍
2%
克里斯托弗·布鲁克斯
1%
大卫·汉恩
1%
汤姆·韦勒
1%
吉姆·纳什
1%
艾莉西亚·格鲁恩哈根
1%
朱莉娅·科尔曼
<1%
克里斯汀·罗宾斯
<1%
米歇尔·塔福亚 78%
亚当·施瓦泽 9.3%
雷蒙德·彼得森 8.4%
罗伊斯·怀特 3.5%
$25,944 交易量
$25,944 交易量
Aug 11, 2026
米歇尔·塔福亚
$0 交易量
78%
亚当·施瓦泽
$0 交易量
9%
雷蒙德·彼得森
$0 交易量
8%
罗伊斯·怀特
$0 交易量
3%
迈克·鲁霍
$0 交易量
2%
克里斯托弗·布鲁克斯
$0 交易量
1%
大卫·汉恩
$21,561 交易量
1%
汤姆·韦勒
$0 交易量
1%
吉姆·纳什
$0 交易量
1%
艾莉西亚·格鲁恩哈根
$4,383 交易量
1%
朱莉娅·科尔曼
$0 交易量
<1%
克里斯汀·罗宾斯
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET
交易量
$25,944结束日期
Aug 11, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.
If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$25,944结束日期
Aug 11, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 78% implied probability to win the Minnesota Republican Senate primary on August 13, driven by her high-profile June 27 campaign launch as a former ESPN commentator and conservative podcaster, which has quickly elevated her above a fragmented field lacking strong polling or fundraising from rivals. Recent momentum stems from her emphasis on border security, economic issues, and Trump-aligned messaging, appealing to GOP base voters amid sparse recent surveys showing no clear frontrunner beforehand. Adam Schwarze and Raymond Petersen trail at 9% and 7%, reflecting limited name recognition, while Royce White's earlier buzz has faded due to organizational challenges; upcoming endorsements or debates could shift the closely watched nomination path against incumbent Sen. Amy Klobuchar.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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