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Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

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Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

Wisconsin

99% chance
Polymarket

$40,982 交易量

Wisconsin

99% chance
Polymarket

$40,982 交易量

This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote.

If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
交易量
$40,982
结束日期
Nov 5, 2024
市场开放时间
Oct 23, 2024, 3:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote. If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

已提议结果: Wisconsin

有争议

已提议结果: Wisconsin

无争议

最终结果: Wisconsin

This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote.

If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
交易量
$40,982
结束日期
Nov 5, 2024
市场开放时间
Oct 23, 2024, 3:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote. If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

已提议结果: Wisconsin

有争议

已提议结果: Wisconsin

无争议

最终结果: Wisconsin

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常见问题

"Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?"已产生 $41K 的总交易量(自Oct 23, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?"的当前领先者是"Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。