Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, 2026, with his Board of Governors seat extending to January 2028, but trader consensus hinges on President Trump's push for a replacement amid ongoing tensions over monetary policy and a Justice Department probe into $1 billion Fed building renovation overruns. In March 18 testimony, Powell affirmed he will remain Chair until Senate-confirmed successor—potentially Kevin Warsh—is installed, citing legal protections against removal absent cause, a high bar upheld historically. No resignation or firing has materialized despite public pressure, bolstering low odds for early exit; key catalysts include Senate confirmation hearings, FOMC decisions through May, and probe resolution, with structural independence limiting abrupt change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于杰罗姆·鲍威尔（ Jerome Powell ）担任美联储主席
杰罗姆·鲍威尔（ Jerome Powell ）担任美联储主席
$1,872,695 交易量
2026-05-14
5月14日
1%
$1,872,695 交易量
5月14日
$877,312 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, 2026, with his Board of Governors seat extending to January 2028, but trader consensus hinges on President Trump's push for a replacement amid ongoing tensions over monetary policy and a Justice Department probe into $1 billion Fed building renovation overruns. In March 18 testimony, Powell affirmed he will remain Chair until Senate-confirmed successor—potentially Kevin Warsh—is installed, citing legal protections against removal absent cause, a high bar upheld historically. No resignation or firing has materialized despite public pressure, bolstering low odds for early exit; key catalysts include Senate confirmation hearings, FOMC decisions through May, and probe resolution, with structural independence limiting abrupt change.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$1,872,695结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, 2026, with his Board of Governors seat extending to January 2028, but trader consensus hinges on President Trump's push for a replacement amid ongoing tensions over monetary policy and a Justice Department probe into $1 billion Fed building renovation overruns. In March 18 testimony, Powell affirmed he will remain Chair until Senate-confirmed successor—potentially Kevin Warsh—is installed, citing legal protections against removal absent cause, a high bar upheld historically. No resignation or firing has materialized despite public pressure, bolstering low odds for early exit; key catalysts include Senate confirmation hearings, FOMC decisions through May, and probe resolution, with structural independence limiting abrupt change.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,872,695结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, 2026, with his Board of Governors seat extending to January 2028, but trader consensus hinges on President Trump's push for a replacement amid ongoing tensions over monetary policy and a Justice Department probe into $1 billion Fed building renovation overruns. In March 18 testimony, Powell affirmed he will remain Chair until Senate-confirmed successor—potentially Kevin Warsh—is installed, citing legal protections against removal absent cause, a high bar upheld historically. No resignation or firing has materialized despite public pressure, bolstering low odds for early exit; key catalysts include Senate confirmation hearings, FOMC decisions through May, and probe resolution, with structural independence limiting abrupt change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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