Trader consensus prices low odds for Israeli forces entering Beirut soon, reflecting the IDF's emphasis on airstrikes targeting Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs like Dahiyeh, rather than ground advances into the capital. Recent escalations include mass evacuation warnings issued October 25, 2024, followed by heavy bombardment killing senior Hezbollah operatives, alongside expanded limited ground operations in southern Lebanon to dismantle border launch sites and push militants north of the Litani River. No verified IDF entry into Beirut city has occurred. Upcoming U.S.-led ceasefire talks and UN Security Council deliberations on Resolution 1701 enforcement could temper risks, while persistent Hezbollah rocket barrages maintain pressure for potential further response.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$46,590 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
2%
4月30日
12%
$46,590 交易量
3月31日
$14,901 交易量
2%
4月30日
$31,688 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
交易量
$46,590结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$46,590结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices low odds for Israeli forces entering Beirut soon, reflecting the IDF's emphasis on airstrikes targeting Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs like Dahiyeh, rather than ground advances into the capital. Recent escalations include mass evacuation warnings issued October 25, 2024, followed by heavy bombardment killing senior Hezbollah operatives, alongside expanded limited ground operations in southern Lebanon to dismantle border launch sites and push militants north of the Litani River. No verified IDF entry into Beirut city has occurred. Upcoming U.S.-led ceasefire talks and UN Security Council deliberations on Resolution 1701 enforcement could temper risks, while persistent Hezbollah rocket barrages maintain pressure for potential further response.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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