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以色列和叙利亚通过……实现关系正常化?

Market icon

以色列和叙利亚通过……实现关系正常化?

$1,718,159 交易量

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$1,718,159 交易量

Polymarket

June 30, 2026

$293,484 交易量

7%

2026年12月31日

$587,409 交易量

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite US-brokered talks yielding a dedicated Israel-Syria communication line for intelligence sharing and military de-escalation in early January 2026, recent tensions have escalated, with Israel striking Syrian government infrastructure on March 20 following attacks on Druze communities in the Golan Heights buffer zone. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa, leading post-Assad governance since late 2024, has pursued security coordination but explicitly ruled out direct normalization in November 2025 amid disputes over the Israeli-occupied Golan. Regional strains from US-Israeli strikes on Iran since late February further complicate diplomacy. Traders monitor potential Golan negotiations or formal pacts, though clashes signal low near-term normalization odds absent major breakthroughs.

Despite US-brokered talks yielding a dedicated Israel-Syria communication line for intelligence sharing and military de-escalation in early January 2026, recent tensions have escalated, with Israel striking Syrian government infrastructure on March 20 following attacks on Druze communities in the Golan Heights buffer zone. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa, leading post-Assad governance since late 2024, has pursued security coordination but explicitly ruled out direct normalization in November 2025 amid disputes over the Israeli-occupied Golan. Regional strains from US-Israeli strikes on Iran since late February further complicate diplomacy. Traders monitor potential Golan negotiations or formal pacts, though clashes signal low near-term normalization odds absent major breakthroughs.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite US-brokered talks yielding a dedicated Israel-Syria communication line for intelligence sharing and military de-escalation in early January 2026, recent tensions have escalated, with Israel striking Syrian government infrastructure on March 20 following attacks on Druze communities in the Golan Heights buffer zone. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa, leading post-Assad governance since late 2024, has pursued security coordination but explicitly ruled out direct normalization in November 2025 amid disputes over the Israeli-occupied Golan. Regional strains from US-Israeli strikes on Iran since late February further complicate diplomacy. Traders monitor potential Golan negotiations or formal pacts, though clashes signal low near-term normalization odds absent major breakthroughs.

Despite US-brokered talks yielding a dedicated Israel-Syria communication line for intelligence sharing and military de-escalation in early January 2026, recent tensions have escalated, with Israel striking Syrian government infrastructure on March 20 following attacks on Druze communities in the Golan Heights buffer zone. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa, leading post-Assad governance since late 2024, has pursued security coordination but explicitly ruled out direct normalization in November 2025 amid disputes over the Israeli-occupied Golan. Regional strains from US-Israeli strikes on Iran since late February further complicate diplomacy. Traders monitor potential Golan negotiations or formal pacts, though clashes signal low near-term normalization odds absent major breakthroughs.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"以色列和叙利亚通过……实现关系正常化?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年12月31日",概率为 16%,其次是"June 30, 2026",概率为 7%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 16¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 16%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"以色列和叙利亚通过……实现关系正常化?"已产生 $1.7 million 的总交易量(自Jun 2, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"以色列和叙利亚通过……实现关系正常化?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"以色列和叙利亚通过……实现关系正常化?"的当前领先者是"2026年12月31日",概率为 16%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 16%。紧随其后的结果是"June 30, 2026",概率为 7%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"以色列和叙利亚通过……实现关系正常化?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。