Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a ballistic missile toward Israel from Yemen on March 28, 2026—the first such attack since the Middle East war escalated in late February—though Israeli defenses intercepted it with no reported casualties or damage. This follows U.S. and Israeli airstrikes that have destroyed much of the Houthis' missile arsenal and launchers, restraining their capabilities amid threats to join Iran's axis of resistance in retaliation for strikes on Tehran and Gaza operations. Ongoing ceasefire negotiations show no breakthrough, with Houthi statements signaling readiness for further drone or missile barrages, while Israeli interdictions and diplomatic pressures shape trader assessments of escalation risks and strike timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$699,804 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
24%
4月15日
59%
$699,804 交易量
3月31日
$672,023 交易量
24%
4月15日
$27,781 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a ballistic missile toward Israel from Yemen on March 28, 2026—the first such attack since the Middle East war escalated in late February—though Israeli defenses intercepted it with no reported casualties or damage. This follows U.S. and Israeli airstrikes that have destroyed much of the Houthis' missile arsenal and launchers, restraining their capabilities amid threats to join Iran's axis of resistance in retaliation for strikes on Tehran and Gaza operations. Ongoing ceasefire negotiations show no breakthrough, with Houthi statements signaling readiness for further drone or missile barrages, while Israeli interdictions and diplomatic pressures shape trader assessments of escalation risks and strike timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
交易量
$699,804结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a ballistic missile toward Israel from Yemen on March 28, 2026—the first such attack since the Middle East war escalated in late February—though Israeli defenses intercepted it with no reported casualties or damage. This follows U.S. and Israeli airstrikes that have destroyed much of the Houthis' missile arsenal and launchers, restraining their capabilities amid threats to join Iran's axis of resistance in retaliation for strikes on Tehran and Gaza operations. Ongoing ceasefire negotiations show no breakthrough, with Houthi statements signaling readiness for further drone or missile barrages, while Israeli interdictions and diplomatic pressures shape trader assessments of escalation risks and strike timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$699,804结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a ballistic missile toward Israel from Yemen on March 28, 2026—the first such attack since the Middle East war escalated in late February—though Israeli defenses intercepted it with no reported casualties or damage. This follows U.S. and Israeli airstrikes that have destroyed much of the Houthis' missile arsenal and launchers, restraining their capabilities amid threats to join Iran's axis of resistance in retaliation for strikes on Tehran and Gaza operations. Ongoing ceasefire negotiations show no breakthrough, with Houthi statements signaling readiness for further drone or missile barrages, while Israeli interdictions and diplomatic pressures shape trader assessments of escalation risks and strike timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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