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洪都拉斯总统选举胜出幅度

Market icon

洪都拉斯总统选举胜出幅度

阿斯福拉胜利 100.0%

纳斯拉拉 <3% <1%

纳斯拉拉 3-6% <1%

纳斯拉拉 6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$290,709 交易量

阿斯福拉胜利 100.0%

纳斯拉拉 <3% <1%

纳斯拉拉 3-6% <1%

纳斯拉拉 6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$290,709 交易量

纳斯拉拉 <3%

$60,533 交易量

纳斯拉拉 3-6%

$43,320 交易量

纳斯拉拉 6-9%

$33,098 交易量

纳斯拉拉9%+

$12,086 交易量

蒙卡达 <3%

$17,287 交易量

Moncada 3-6%

$9,708 交易量

Moncada 6%+

$16,821 交易量

阿斯福拉胜利

$97,856 交易量

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Honduran Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
交易量
$290,709
结束日期
Nov 30, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 29, 2025, 3:44 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Honduran Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"洪都拉斯总统选举胜出幅度" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "阿斯福拉胜利" at 100%, followed by "纳斯拉拉 <3%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "洪都拉斯总统选举胜出幅度" has generated $290.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "洪都拉斯总统选举胜出幅度," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "洪都拉斯总统选举胜出幅度" is "阿斯福拉胜利" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "纳斯拉拉 <3%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "洪都拉斯总统选举胜出幅度" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.