Trader consensus assigns a 99.8% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, reflecting tight convergence across China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project a daytime peak of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, mild southerly flow at 10-15 km/h, and moderate humidity around 60-70%. This positioning stems from recent 24-48 hour forecast refinements showing stable high-pressure influence over the Yangtze River basin, elevating temperatures modestly above early-April climatological averages of 20-22°C. Scenarios challenging this include unanticipated dissipation of cloud cover boosting solar insolation to drive 25°C+, or unforecast showers from a weakening frontal boundary cooling the profile; real-time data from Hankou meteorological station will resolve by midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
24°C 99.6%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$75,888 交易量
$75,888 交易量
2026-04-01
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.6%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$75,888 交易量
$75,888 交易量
2026-04-01
24°C
$6,304 交易量
100%
25°C
$5,693 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,681 交易量
<1%
27°C
$3,775 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$3,775 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 99.8% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, reflecting tight convergence across China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project a daytime peak of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, mild southerly flow at 10-15 km/h, and moderate humidity around 60-70%. This positioning stems from recent 24-48 hour forecast refinements showing stable high-pressure influence over the Yangtze River basin, elevating temperatures modestly above early-April climatological averages of 20-22°C. Scenarios challenging this include unanticipated dissipation of cloud cover boosting solar insolation to drive 25°C+, or unforecast showers from a weakening frontal boundary cooling the profile; real-time data from Hankou meteorological station will resolve by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
交易量
$75,888结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 99.8% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, reflecting tight convergence across China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project a daytime peak of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, mild southerly flow at 10-15 km/h, and moderate humidity around 60-70%. This positioning stems from recent 24-48 hour forecast refinements showing stable high-pressure influence over the Yangtze River basin, elevating temperatures modestly above early-April climatological averages of 20-22°C. Scenarios challenging this include unanticipated dissipation of cloud cover boosting solar insolation to drive 25°C+, or unforecast showers from a weakening frontal boundary cooling the profile; real-time data from Hankou meteorological station will resolve by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$75,888结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETTrader consensus assigns a 99.8% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, reflecting tight convergence across China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project a daytime peak of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, mild southerly flow at 10-15 km/h, and moderate humidity around 60-70%. This positioning stems from recent 24-48 hour forecast refinements showing stable high-pressure influence over the Yangtze River basin, elevating temperatures modestly above early-April climatological averages of 20-22°C. Scenarios challenging this include unanticipated dissipation of cloud cover boosting solar insolation to drive 25°C+, or unforecast showers from a weakening frontal boundary cooling the profile; real-time data from Hankou meteorological station will resolve by midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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