The latest National Weather Service forecast pins Dallas highs on April 5 in the upper 60s to low 70s, reflecting a cold front's passage late April 4 after midweek warmth (84-85°F on April 2-3), which has shifted upper-air patterns to favor northerly winds around 10 mph and persistent mostly cloudy skies suppressing diurnal heating. This post-frontal cooling and lingering moisture explain the tight trader consensus on 68-73°F outcomes, with 70-71°F leading at 26% implied probability. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud persistence—ECMWF and GFS ensembles show slight divergence, where earlier clearing could push toward 72-73°F, while prolonged overcast favors 68-69°F—against April's climatological average high near 77°F. New NWS updates and model runs daily could refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution at Dallas Love Field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
70-71°F 26%
68-69°F 20%
72-73°F 19%
74°F or higher 15%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
19%
74°F or higher
15%
70-71°F 26%
68-69°F 20%
72-73°F 19%
74°F or higher 15%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
19%
74°F or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The latest National Weather Service forecast pins Dallas highs on April 5 in the upper 60s to low 70s, reflecting a cold front's passage late April 4 after midweek warmth (84-85°F on April 2-3), which has shifted upper-air patterns to favor northerly winds around 10 mph and persistent mostly cloudy skies suppressing diurnal heating. This post-frontal cooling and lingering moisture explain the tight trader consensus on 68-73°F outcomes, with 70-71°F leading at 26% implied probability. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud persistence—ECMWF and GFS ensembles show slight divergence, where earlier clearing could push toward 72-73°F, while prolonged overcast favors 68-69°F—against April's climatological average high near 77°F. New NWS updates and model runs daily could refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution at Dallas Love Field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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