Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-term forecast projecting a late-afternoon peak of 22°C at Munich Airport under a building high-pressure ridge and mild southerly flow. This follows a sharp warming trend from 13°C on April 3 and 14°C on April 4 after early-month chills near 0°C mornings. Differentiating factors include minor spreads in ICON-EU and ECMWF ensemble models over cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and insolation—potentially capping at 20°C with overcast skies or pushing to 23°C under clearer conditions. Watch DWD updates and April 4 observations for refinements ahead of resolution via official EDDM station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
21°C 28%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
18%
21°C
28%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C or higher
9%
21°C 28%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
14°C or below
$618 交易量
<1%
15°C
$417 交易量
<1%
16°C
$296 交易量
1%
17°C
$289 交易量
2%
18°C
$594 交易量
4%
19°C
$563 交易量
10%
20°C
$771 交易量
18%
21°C
$701 交易量
28%
22°C
$1,287 交易量
24%
23°C
$613 交易量
15%
24°C or higher
$538 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-term forecast projecting a late-afternoon peak of 22°C at Munich Airport under a building high-pressure ridge and mild southerly flow. This follows a sharp warming trend from 13°C on April 3 and 14°C on April 4 after early-month chills near 0°C mornings. Differentiating factors include minor spreads in ICON-EU and ECMWF ensemble models over cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and insolation—potentially capping at 20°C with overcast skies or pushing to 23°C under clearer conditions. Watch DWD updates and April 4 observations for refinements ahead of resolution via official EDDM station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$6,685结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-term forecast projecting a late-afternoon peak of 22°C at Munich Airport under a building high-pressure ridge and mild southerly flow. This follows a sharp warming trend from 13°C on April 3 and 14°C on April 4 after early-month chills near 0°C mornings. Differentiating factors include minor spreads in ICON-EU and ECMWF ensemble models over cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and insolation—potentially capping at 20°C with overcast skies or pushing to 23°C under clearer conditions. Watch DWD updates and April 4 observations for refinements ahead of resolution via official EDDM station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,685结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) short-term forecast projecting a late-afternoon peak of 22°C at Munich Airport under a building high-pressure ridge and mild southerly flow. This follows a sharp warming trend from 13°C on April 3 and 14°C on April 4 after early-month chills near 0°C mornings. Differentiating factors include minor spreads in ICON-EU and ECMWF ensemble models over cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and insolation—potentially capping at 20°C with overcast skies or pushing to 23°C under clearer conditions. Watch DWD updates and April 4 observations for refinements ahead of resolution via official EDDM station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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