Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 6 around 13-16°C, with 14°C leading at 24% implied probability amid tight clustering. This stems from a weak upper-level trough over Central Europe fostering variable cloud cover, southerly winds capping daytime heating, and 50-60% precipitation odds moderating peaks, as seen in recent model runs showing GFS warmer (15-16°C) versus ICON cooler (13°C). Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 13°C and rare exceedances above 17°C. New 12Z forecast updates daily could shift odds before resolution via official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on April 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 6?
14°C 28%
13°C 22%
16°C 21%
15°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
22%
14°C
28%
15°C
19%
16°C
21%
17°C
14%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 28%
13°C 22%
16°C 21%
15°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
10°C或以下
$1,111 交易量
1%
11°C
$1,239 交易量
1%
12°C
$324 交易量
3%
13°C
$271 交易量
22%
14°C
$227 交易量
28%
15°C
$260 交易量
19%
16°C
$253 交易量
21%
17°C
$148 交易量
14%
18°C
$198 交易量
4%
19°C
$138 交易量
1%
20°C or higher
$188 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 6 around 13-16°C, with 14°C leading at 24% implied probability amid tight clustering. This stems from a weak upper-level trough over Central Europe fostering variable cloud cover, southerly winds capping daytime heating, and 50-60% precipitation odds moderating peaks, as seen in recent model runs showing GFS warmer (15-16°C) versus ICON cooler (13°C). Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 13°C and rare exceedances above 17°C. New 12Z forecast updates daily could shift odds before resolution via official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$4,226结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 6 around 13-16°C, with 14°C leading at 24% implied probability amid tight clustering. This stems from a weak upper-level trough over Central Europe fostering variable cloud cover, southerly winds capping daytime heating, and 50-60% precipitation odds moderating peaks, as seen in recent model runs showing GFS warmer (15-16°C) versus ICON cooler (13°C). Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 13°C and rare exceedances above 17°C. New 12Z forecast updates daily could shift odds before resolution via official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,226结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 6 around 13-16°C, with 14°C leading at 24% implied probability amid tight clustering. This stems from a weak upper-level trough over Central Europe fostering variable cloud cover, southerly winds capping daytime heating, and 50-60% precipitation odds moderating peaks, as seen in recent model runs showing GFS warmer (15-16°C) versus ICON cooler (13°C). Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 13°C and rare exceedances above 17°C. New 12Z forecast updates daily could shift odds before resolution via official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题