Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in short-range forecasts for downtown Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 5, with evenly split implied probabilities across bins amid model ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF projecting highs between 68-76°F. Recent midweek showers and a lingering trough have cooled the region below seasonal norms—April 5 climatological average around 67°F—while transitioning onshore flow risks persistent marine layer stratus clouds capping coastal highs near 70°F. However, potential upper-level ridging and shallower marine layers could push temperatures into the mid-70s, differentiating outcomes; National Weather Service updates and new model runs expected daily through resolution will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover evolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日洛杉矶气温最高？
4月5日洛杉矶气温最高？
72-73°F 27%
67°F或以下 25%
86华氏度或更高 25%
70-71°F 23%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
67°F或以下
25%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
12%
86华氏度或更高
25%
72-73°F 27%
67°F或以下 25%
86华氏度或更高 25%
70-71°F 23%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
67°F或以下
$0 交易量
25%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
16%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
23%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
27%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
17%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
18%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
16%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
14%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
12%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
12%
86华氏度或更高
$5 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in short-range forecasts for downtown Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 5, with evenly split implied probabilities across bins amid model ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF projecting highs between 68-76°F. Recent midweek showers and a lingering trough have cooled the region below seasonal norms—April 5 climatological average around 67°F—while transitioning onshore flow risks persistent marine layer stratus clouds capping coastal highs near 70°F. However, potential upper-level ridging and shallower marine layers could push temperatures into the mid-70s, differentiating outcomes; National Weather Service updates and new model runs expected daily through resolution will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in short-range forecasts for downtown Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 5, with evenly split implied probabilities across bins amid model ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF projecting highs between 68-76°F. Recent midweek showers and a lingering trough have cooled the region below seasonal norms—April 5 climatological average around 67°F—while transitioning onshore flow risks persistent marine layer stratus clouds capping coastal highs near 70°F. However, potential upper-level ridging and shallower marine layers could push temperatures into the mid-70s, differentiating outcomes; National Weather Service updates and new model runs expected daily through resolution will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in short-range forecasts for downtown Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 5, with evenly split implied probabilities across bins amid model ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF projecting highs between 68-76°F. Recent midweek showers and a lingering trough have cooled the region below seasonal norms—April 5 climatological average around 67°F—while transitioning onshore flow risks persistent marine layer stratus clouds capping coastal highs near 70°F. However, potential upper-level ridging and shallower marine layers could push temperatures into the mid-70s, differentiating outcomes; National Weather Service updates and new model runs expected daily through resolution will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover evolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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