Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 27°C (99.9%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, backed by official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport meteorological station, where mid-afternoon readings peaked at 27°C (81°F) around 4-5 PM local time under partly cloudy skies. China Meteorological Administration data confirms this daily maximum, consistent with short-range forecast models predicting highs of 26-27°C amid light winds and moderate humidity, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26°C average highs influenced by subtropical high pressure. As the diurnal temperature cycle progresses into evening cooling (current readings dropping to 25-26°C), the positioning reflects near-certainty from real-time data. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day convective burst or station measurement revision, though model consensus and historical patterns make shifts above 27°C highly unlikely; final records expected tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$221,509 交易量
$221,509 交易量
2026-04-01
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$221,509 交易量
$221,509 交易量
2026-04-01
27°C
$16,247 交易量
100%
28°C
$19,981 交易量
<1%
29°C
$14,645 交易量
<1%
30°C
$17,486 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$9,788 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 27°C (99.9%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, backed by official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport meteorological station, where mid-afternoon readings peaked at 27°C (81°F) around 4-5 PM local time under partly cloudy skies. China Meteorological Administration data confirms this daily maximum, consistent with short-range forecast models predicting highs of 26-27°C amid light winds and moderate humidity, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26°C average highs influenced by subtropical high pressure. As the diurnal temperature cycle progresses into evening cooling (current readings dropping to 25-26°C), the positioning reflects near-certainty from real-time data. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day convective burst or station measurement revision, though model consensus and historical patterns make shifts above 27°C highly unlikely; final records expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
交易量
$221,509结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 27°C (99.9%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, backed by official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport meteorological station, where mid-afternoon readings peaked at 27°C (81°F) around 4-5 PM local time under partly cloudy skies. China Meteorological Administration data confirms this daily maximum, consistent with short-range forecast models predicting highs of 26-27°C amid light winds and moderate humidity, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26°C average highs influenced by subtropical high pressure. As the diurnal temperature cycle progresses into evening cooling (current readings dropping to 25-26°C), the positioning reflects near-certainty from real-time data. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day convective burst or station measurement revision, though model consensus and historical patterns make shifts above 27°C highly unlikely; final records expected tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$221,509结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 27°C (99.9%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, backed by official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport meteorological station, where mid-afternoon readings peaked at 27°C (81°F) around 4-5 PM local time under partly cloudy skies. China Meteorological Administration data confirms this daily maximum, consistent with short-range forecast models predicting highs of 26-27°C amid light winds and moderate humidity, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26°C average highs influenced by subtropical high pressure. As the diurnal temperature cycle progresses into evening cooling (current readings dropping to 25-26°C), the positioning reflects near-certainty from real-time data. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day convective burst or station measurement revision, though model consensus and historical patterns make shifts above 27°C highly unlikely; final records expected tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题