The latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 14°C (33.5% implied probability) while spreading odds across nearby outcomes amid 45–55% uncertainty in the cluster. Recent March 30 mid-term updates shifted projections cooler from earlier 16°C estimates, reflecting a northerly continental air mass moderating spring warmth after variable early April conditions. Key variables include cloud cover evolution limiting solar insolation, timing of peak diurnal heating around 2–4 PM local time, and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which could boost readings by 1°C; historical early April highs average 15°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. Overnight KMA revisions and new model runs may clarify the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
14°C 34%
13°C 21%
15°C 19%
12°C 15%
$78,840 交易量
$78,840 交易量
2026-04-02
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
7%
12°C
15%
13°C
21%
14°C
34%
15°C
19%
16°C or higher
10%
14°C 34%
13°C 21%
15°C 19%
12°C 15%
$78,840 交易量
$78,840 交易量
2026-04-02
6°C or below
$28,096 交易量
<1%
7°C
$4,185 交易量
<1%
8°C
$4,293 交易量
<1%
9°C
$6,329 交易量
1%
10°C
$6,173 交易量
1%
11°C
$5,504 交易量
7%
12°C
$3,568 交易量
15%
13°C
$4,283 交易量
21%
14°C
$3,657 交易量
34%
15°C
$4,254 交易量
19%
16°C or higher
$8,540 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 14°C (33.5% implied probability) while spreading odds across nearby outcomes amid 45–55% uncertainty in the cluster. Recent March 30 mid-term updates shifted projections cooler from earlier 16°C estimates, reflecting a northerly continental air mass moderating spring warmth after variable early April conditions. Key variables include cloud cover evolution limiting solar insolation, timing of peak diurnal heating around 2–4 PM local time, and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which could boost readings by 1°C; historical early April highs average 15°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. Overnight KMA revisions and new model runs may clarify the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
交易量
$78,840结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 14°C (33.5% implied probability) while spreading odds across nearby outcomes amid 45–55% uncertainty in the cluster. Recent March 30 mid-term updates shifted projections cooler from earlier 16°C estimates, reflecting a northerly continental air mass moderating spring warmth after variable early April conditions. Key variables include cloud cover evolution limiting solar insolation, timing of peak diurnal heating around 2–4 PM local time, and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which could boost readings by 1°C; historical early April highs average 15°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. Overnight KMA revisions and new model runs may clarify the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,840结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETThe latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 at 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, driving trader consensus toward 14°C (33.5% implied probability) while spreading odds across nearby outcomes amid 45–55% uncertainty in the cluster. Recent March 30 mid-term updates shifted projections cooler from earlier 16°C estimates, reflecting a northerly continental air mass moderating spring warmth after variable early April conditions. Key variables include cloud cover evolution limiting solar insolation, timing of peak diurnal heating around 2–4 PM local time, and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which could boost readings by 1°C; historical early April highs average 15°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. Overnight KMA revisions and new model runs may clarify the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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