National Weather Service observations at New York City's official Central Park station have already recorded a high of 80°F on March 31, 2026, well exceeding the 74°F threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This extreme warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly warm air advection under clear skies, following a month of above-normal temperatures including record 80°F on March 10. Compared to the March climatological normal high of around 52°F, today's reading shatters expectations, with minimal cloud cover and light winds aiding solar heating. Final certification in the NWS daily climatological report, typically issued early April 1, could theoretically revise data due to rare sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly unlikely given multiple confirming observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月31日纽约市最高气温？
3月31日纽约市最高气温？
74华氏度或更高 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$426,000 交易量
$426,000 交易量
2026-03-31
55°F或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74华氏度或更高
是
74华氏度或更高 100.0%
55°F或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$426,000 交易量
$426,000 交易量
2026-03-31
55°F或以下
$29,643 交易量
否
56-57°F
$64,958 交易量
否
58-59°F
$17,893 交易量
否
60-61°F
$37,245 交易量
否
62-63°F
$20,146 交易量
否
64-65°F
$22,815 交易量
否
66-67°F
$24,269 交易量
否
68-69°F
$23,436 交易量
否
70-71°F
$42,291 交易量
否
72-73°F
$51,018 交易量
否
74华氏度或更高
$92,285 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at New York City's official Central Park station have already recorded a high of 80°F on March 31, 2026, well exceeding the 74°F threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This extreme warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly warm air advection under clear skies, following a month of above-normal temperatures including record 80°F on March 10. Compared to the March climatological normal high of around 52°F, today's reading shatters expectations, with minimal cloud cover and light winds aiding solar heating. Final certification in the NWS daily climatological report, typically issued early April 1, could theoretically revise data due to rare sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly unlikely given multiple confirming observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$426,000结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at New York City's official Central Park station have already recorded a high of 80°F on March 31, 2026, well exceeding the 74°F threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This extreme warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly warm air advection under clear skies, following a month of above-normal temperatures including record 80°F on March 10. Compared to the March climatological normal high of around 52°F, today's reading shatters expectations, with minimal cloud cover and light winds aiding solar heating. Final certification in the NWS daily climatological report, typically issued early April 1, could theoretically revise data due to rare sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly unlikely given multiple confirming observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$426,000结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
National Weather Service observations at New York City's official Central Park station have already recorded a high of 80°F on March 31, 2026, well exceeding the 74°F threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This extreme warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly warm air advection under clear skies, following a month of above-normal temperatures including record 80°F on March 10. Compared to the March climatological normal high of around 52°F, today's reading shatters expectations, with minimal cloud cover and light winds aiding solar heating. Final certification in the NWS daily climatological report, typically issued early April 1, could theoretically revise data due to rare sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly unlikely given multiple confirming observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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