National Weather Service observations from New York City's official Central Park station confirm a high temperature of 79.0°F at 3 p.m. EDT on April 1, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome. This verified measurement, from standardized thermometers in a shaded, ventilated shelter, overrides pre-event forecasts of around 76°F amid a ridge of high pressure ushering warm southerly winds and abundant sunshine—well above the 56°F April 1 climatological normal but shy of the 83°F record. While final quality-controlled NOAA data could theoretically prompt minor revisions for sensor calibration issues, such adjustments are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, solidifying market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$329,208 交易量
$329,208 交易量
2026-04-01
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$329,208 交易量
$329,208 交易量
2026-04-01
78-79°F
$41,477 交易量
100%
80-81°F
$53,146 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$38,173 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$13,434 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$7,436 交易量
<1%
88°F or higher
$16,339 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from New York City's official Central Park station confirm a high temperature of 79.0°F at 3 p.m. EDT on April 1, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome. This verified measurement, from standardized thermometers in a shaded, ventilated shelter, overrides pre-event forecasts of around 76°F amid a ridge of high pressure ushering warm southerly winds and abundant sunshine—well above the 56°F April 1 climatological normal but shy of the 83°F record. While final quality-controlled NOAA data could theoretically prompt minor revisions for sensor calibration issues, such adjustments are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, solidifying market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$329,208结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from New York City's official Central Park station confirm a high temperature of 79.0°F at 3 p.m. EDT on April 1, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome. This verified measurement, from standardized thermometers in a shaded, ventilated shelter, overrides pre-event forecasts of around 76°F amid a ridge of high pressure ushering warm southerly winds and abundant sunshine—well above the 56°F April 1 climatological normal but shy of the 83°F record. While final quality-controlled NOAA data could theoretically prompt minor revisions for sensor calibration issues, such adjustments are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, solidifying market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$329,208结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service observations from New York City's official Central Park station confirm a high temperature of 79.0°F at 3 p.m. EDT on April 1, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome. This verified measurement, from standardized thermometers in a shaded, ventilated shelter, overrides pre-event forecasts of around 76°F amid a ridge of high pressure ushering warm southerly winds and abundant sunshine—well above the 56°F April 1 climatological normal but shy of the 83°F record. While final quality-controlled NOAA data could theoretically prompt minor revisions for sensor calibration issues, such adjustments are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, solidifying market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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