Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 84-85°F (42%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance indicating mid-80s highs amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas. This setup promotes sunny skies, light southerly winds, and above-normal temperatures—early April normals at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport hover around 79°F—supported by ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing 2-meter temperatures peaking near 85°F. Recent area forecast discussions highlight minimal front passage risk and low precipitation odds, boosting confidence in the warm outcome, though brief cloudiness or sea breeze timing could trim peaks to 82-83°F (28.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected March 31 will refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 1?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 1?
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 30%
86-87°F 17%
90-91°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
77°F or below
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
42%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 30%
86-87°F 17%
90-91°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
77°F or below
$74 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$47 交易量
10%
80-81°F
$16 交易量
12%
82-83°F
$25 交易量
30%
84-85°F
$128 交易量
42%
86-87°F
$5 交易量
17%
88-89°F
$22 交易量
13%
90-91°F
$15 交易量
14%
92-93°F
$221 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$412 交易量
1%
96°F or higher
$309 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 84-85°F (42%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance indicating mid-80s highs amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas. This setup promotes sunny skies, light southerly winds, and above-normal temperatures—early April normals at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport hover around 79°F—supported by ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing 2-meter temperatures peaking near 85°F. Recent area forecast discussions highlight minimal front passage risk and low precipitation odds, boosting confidence in the warm outcome, though brief cloudiness or sea breeze timing could trim peaks to 82-83°F (28.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected March 31 will refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
交易量
$1,273结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 84-85°F (42%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance indicating mid-80s highs amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas. This setup promotes sunny skies, light southerly winds, and above-normal temperatures—early April normals at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport hover around 79°F—supported by ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing 2-meter temperatures peaking near 85°F. Recent area forecast discussions highlight minimal front passage risk and low precipitation odds, boosting confidence in the warm outcome, though brief cloudiness or sea breeze timing could trim peaks to 82-83°F (28.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected March 31 will refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,273结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 84-85°F (42%) as Houston's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance indicating mid-80s highs amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas. This setup promotes sunny skies, light southerly winds, and above-normal temperatures—early April normals at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport hover around 79°F—supported by ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing 2-meter temperatures peaking near 85°F. Recent area forecast discussions highlight minimal front passage risk and low precipitation odds, boosting confidence in the warm outcome, though brief cloudiness or sea breeze timing could trim peaks to 82-83°F (28.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected March 31 will refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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