Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77% implied probability to a 14°C high temperature in London today, driven by the latest Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which cluster maximums at 13-15°C amid persistent high pressure (1022-1025 mb) fostering dry but overcast conditions with light winds. Midday observations at Heathrow Airport confirm around 12°C under thick cloud cover, limiting solar insolation and aligning with this outlook, as typical early April climatology averages 12-13°C maxima. A 24.5% chance for 15°C reflects potential brief sunny intervals boosting heating, though model agreement suggests limited upside; real-time data from official stations like Kew Gardens through late afternoon could refine this as the resolution window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on April 1?
Highest temperature in London on April 1?
14°C 69%
15°C 31%
16°C 1.6%
17°C <1%
$236,374 交易量
$236,374 交易量
2026-04-01
13°C
<1%
14°C
69%
15°C
31%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 69%
15°C 31%
16°C 1.6%
17°C <1%
$236,374 交易量
$236,374 交易量
2026-04-01
13°C
$38,636 交易量
<1%
14°C
$28,747 交易量
69%
15°C
$22,453 交易量
31%
16°C
$31,072 交易量
2%
17°C
$21,116 交易量
1%
18°C
$10,709 交易量
<1%
19°C
$14,324 交易量
<1%
20°C
$15,743 交易量
<1%
21°C or higher
$25,470 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77% implied probability to a 14°C high temperature in London today, driven by the latest Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which cluster maximums at 13-15°C amid persistent high pressure (1022-1025 mb) fostering dry but overcast conditions with light winds. Midday observations at Heathrow Airport confirm around 12°C under thick cloud cover, limiting solar insolation and aligning with this outlook, as typical early April climatology averages 12-13°C maxima. A 24.5% chance for 15°C reflects potential brief sunny intervals boosting heating, though model agreement suggests limited upside; real-time data from official stations like Kew Gardens through late afternoon could refine this as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
交易量
$236,374结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:40 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77% implied probability to a 14°C high temperature in London today, driven by the latest Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which cluster maximums at 13-15°C amid persistent high pressure (1022-1025 mb) fostering dry but overcast conditions with light winds. Midday observations at Heathrow Airport confirm around 12°C under thick cloud cover, limiting solar insolation and aligning with this outlook, as typical early April climatology averages 12-13°C maxima. A 24.5% chance for 15°C reflects potential brief sunny intervals boosting heating, though model agreement suggests limited upside; real-time data from official stations like Kew Gardens through late afternoon could refine this as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$236,374结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:40 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77% implied probability to a 14°C high temperature in London today, driven by the latest Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which cluster maximums at 13-15°C amid persistent high pressure (1022-1025 mb) fostering dry but overcast conditions with light winds. Midday observations at Heathrow Airport confirm around 12°C under thick cloud cover, limiting solar insolation and aligning with this outlook, as typical early April climatology averages 12-13°C maxima. A 24.5% chance for 15°C reflects potential brief sunny intervals boosting heating, though model agreement suggests limited upside; real-time data from official stations like Kew Gardens through late afternoon could refine this as the resolution window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题