Official observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport (ZUCK), the market's resolution source, show temperatures peaking at 21°C midday under persistent overcast skies and light winds, limiting solar insolation and daytime heating in this humid subtropical region. China Meteorological Administration forecasts and model consensus, including recent runs, confirm no further intensification, with morning lows of 13–15°C reflecting a cool air mass. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this evidence, exceeding historical early-April averages of 22–23°C due to cloud suppression. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief radiant heating to 22°C+, though sunset proximity and stable upper-air patterns make this improbable; final daily max posts expected via Wunderground shortly after midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
21°C 99.6%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$134,017 交易量
$134,017 交易量
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.6%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$134,017 交易量
$134,017 交易量
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport (ZUCK), the market's resolution source, show temperatures peaking at 21°C midday under persistent overcast skies and light winds, limiting solar insolation and daytime heating in this humid subtropical region. China Meteorological Administration forecasts and model consensus, including recent runs, confirm no further intensification, with morning lows of 13–15°C reflecting a cool air mass. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this evidence, exceeding historical early-April averages of 22–23°C due to cloud suppression. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief radiant heating to 22°C+, though sunset proximity and stable upper-air patterns make this improbable; final daily max posts expected via Wunderground shortly after midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题