Trader consensus has locked in 40-41°F at 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 1, backed by official observations from Weather Underground at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), recording a daily maximum of 40°F amid persistent northerly winds gusting to 21 mph and partly cloudy skies that trapped cold air near the surface. National Weather Service daily climate reports confirm similar cool conditions, with a 39°F peak well below the 53°F normal, driven by a recent cold front steering frigid Great Lakes air southward. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data corrections from sensor audits or disputes over station readings, though multiple corroborating sources make revisions highly unlikely as markets near resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
40-41°F 100.0%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$182,291 交易量
$182,291 交易量
2026-04-01
40-41°F
100%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52°F or higher
<1%
40-41°F 100.0%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$182,291 交易量
$182,291 交易量
2026-04-01
40-41°F
$21,248 交易量
100%
42-43°F
$14,808 交易量
<1%
44-45°F
$14,472 交易量
<1%
46-47°F
$12,744 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$11,459 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$11,218 交易量
<1%
52°F or higher
$35,274 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 40-41°F at 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 1, backed by official observations from Weather Underground at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), recording a daily maximum of 40°F amid persistent northerly winds gusting to 21 mph and partly cloudy skies that trapped cold air near the surface. National Weather Service daily climate reports confirm similar cool conditions, with a 39°F peak well below the 53°F normal, driven by a recent cold front steering frigid Great Lakes air southward. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data corrections from sensor audits or disputes over station readings, though multiple corroborating sources make revisions highly unlikely as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
交易量
$182,291结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 40-41°F at 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 1, backed by official observations from Weather Underground at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), recording a daily maximum of 40°F amid persistent northerly winds gusting to 21 mph and partly cloudy skies that trapped cold air near the surface. National Weather Service daily climate reports confirm similar cool conditions, with a 39°F peak well below the 53°F normal, driven by a recent cold front steering frigid Great Lakes air southward. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data corrections from sensor audits or disputes over station readings, though multiple corroborating sources make revisions highly unlikely as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$182,291结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETTrader consensus has locked in 40-41°F at 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 1, backed by official observations from Weather Underground at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), recording a daily maximum of 40°F amid persistent northerly winds gusting to 21 mph and partly cloudy skies that trapped cold air near the surface. National Weather Service daily climate reports confirm similar cool conditions, with a 39°F peak well below the 53°F normal, driven by a recent cold front steering frigid Great Lakes air southward. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data corrections from sensor audits or disputes over station readings, though multiple corroborating sources make revisions highly unlikely as markets near resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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