Trump's consistent high-volume posting on Truth Social, averaging 10-14 posts daily in recent weeks amid campaign and post-election activity, drives near-unanimous trader consensus for 80-99 posts during March 17-24, 2026. This reflects his platform as primary communication channel, with historical patterns showing 70-120 weekly totals even during quieter periods, amplified by potential presidential duties if reelected. Market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game bets on continuity, viewing deviations as low-probability. Realistic challenges include prolonged health setbacks, extended platform downtime, or unprecedented communication restrictions, though none alter the dominant implied probability absent major catalysts. Upcoming 2024 election results and early 2025 transition events could refine volume expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年3月17日至3月24日?
唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年3月17日至3月24日?
80-99 100.0%
少于20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
少于20
否
20-39
否
40-59
否
60-79
否
80-99
是
100-119
否
120-139
否
140-159
否
160-179
否
180-199
否
200+
否
80-99 100.0%
少于20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
少于20
否
20-39
否
40-59
否
60-79
否
80-99
是
100-119
否
120-139
否
140-159
否
160-179
否
180-199
否
200+
否
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 9, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's consistent high-volume posting on Truth Social, averaging 10-14 posts daily in recent weeks amid campaign and post-election activity, drives near-unanimous trader consensus for 80-99 posts during March 17-24, 2026. This reflects his platform as primary communication channel, with historical patterns showing 70-120 weekly totals even during quieter periods, amplified by potential presidential duties if reelected. Market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game bets on continuity, viewing deviations as low-probability. Realistic challenges include prolonged health setbacks, extended platform downtime, or unprecedented communication restrictions, though none alter the dominant implied probability absent major catalysts. Upcoming 2024 election results and early 2025 transition events could refine volume expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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