Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Canada's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 3.5-3.9% band, reflecting sticky core inflation measures around 2.5% despite February's headline rate easing to 1.8% year-over-year, as reported by Statistics Canada on March 16. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on March 18, citing persistent supply shocks including a sharp oil price surge—up 37% in March amid geopolitical tensions—which economists warn could lift headline inflation toward 3.3% near-term and elevate 2026 annual averages above consensus forecasts of 2.5%. Upcoming March CPI data and the April 29 BoC meeting with Monetary Policy Report loom as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3.0-3.4% 39.7%
3.5-3.9% 37.4%
2.0–2.4% 16%
2.5–2.9% 13%
$15,759 交易量
$15,759 交易量
2027-01-18
低于1.0%
6%
1.0–1.4%
<1%
1.5–1.9%
3%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
20%
3.0-3.4%
24%
3.5-3.9%
37%
4.0%及以上
21%
3.0-3.4% 39.7%
3.5-3.9% 37.4%
2.0–2.4% 16%
2.5–2.9% 13%
$15,759 交易量
$15,759 交易量
2027-01-18
低于1.0%
$282 交易量
6%
1.0–1.4%
$303 交易量
<1%
1.5–1.9%
$568 交易量
3%
2.0–2.4%
$338 交易量
11%
2.5–2.9%
$459 交易量
20%
3.0-3.4%
$13,221 交易量
24%
3.5-3.9%
$263 交易量
37%
4.0%及以上
$325 交易量
21%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Canada's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 3.5-3.9% band, reflecting sticky core inflation measures around 2.5% despite February's headline rate easing to 1.8% year-over-year, as reported by Statistics Canada on March 16. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on March 18, citing persistent supply shocks including a sharp oil price surge—up 37% in March amid geopolitical tensions—which economists warn could lift headline inflation toward 3.3% near-term and elevate 2026 annual averages above consensus forecasts of 2.5%. Upcoming March CPI data and the April 29 BoC meeting with Monetary Policy Report loom as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
交易量
$15,759结束日期
2027-01-18市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Canada's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 3.5-3.9% band, reflecting sticky core inflation measures around 2.5% despite February's headline rate easing to 1.8% year-over-year, as reported by Statistics Canada on March 16. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on March 18, citing persistent supply shocks including a sharp oil price surge—up 37% in March amid geopolitical tensions—which economists warn could lift headline inflation toward 3.3% near-term and elevate 2026 annual averages above consensus forecasts of 2.5%. Upcoming March CPI data and the April 29 BoC meeting with Monetary Policy Report loom as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
交易量
$15,759结束日期
2027-01-18市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Canada's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 3.5-3.9% band, reflecting sticky core inflation measures around 2.5% despite February's headline rate easing to 1.8% year-over-year, as reported by Statistics Canada on March 16. The Bank of Canada held its policy rate steady at 2.25% on March 18, citing persistent supply shocks including a sharp oil price surge—up 37% in March amid geopolitical tensions—which economists warn could lift headline inflation toward 3.3% near-term and elevate 2026 annual averages above consensus forecasts of 2.5%. Upcoming March CPI data and the April 29 BoC meeting with Monetary Policy Report loom as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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