Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán faces Republican Genevieve Angel in the June 2 primary for California's 44th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 partisan voting index and Barragán's prior large margins, underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of holding the seat. Fundraising data shows the incumbent with a substantial edge in resources, while analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Few developments in recent weeks have shifted positioning, as the district's voter registration and historical patterns limit Republican competitiveness. Potential disruptions remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate scandals or extreme turnout anomalies before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,535 交易量
$21,535 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$21,535 交易量
$21,535 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$13,354 交易量
93%
共和党
$8,181 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán faces Republican Genevieve Angel in the June 2 primary for California's 44th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 partisan voting index and Barragán's prior large margins, underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of holding the seat. Fundraising data shows the incumbent with a substantial edge in resources, while analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Few developments in recent weeks have shifted positioning, as the district's voter registration and historical patterns limit Republican competitiveness. Potential disruptions remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate scandals or extreme turnout anomalies before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$21,535结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán faces Republican Genevieve Angel in the June 2 primary for California's 44th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 partisan voting index and Barragán's prior large margins, underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of holding the seat. Fundraising data shows the incumbent with a substantial edge in resources, while analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Few developments in recent weeks have shifted positioning, as the district's voter registration and historical patterns limit Republican competitiveness. Potential disruptions remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate scandals or extreme turnout anomalies before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,535结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán faces Republican Genevieve Angel in the June 2 primary for California's 44th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 partisan voting index and Barragán's prior large margins, underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of holding the seat. Fundraising data shows the incumbent with a substantial edge in resources, while analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Few developments in recent weeks have shifted positioning, as the district's voter registration and historical patterns limit Republican competitiveness. Potential disruptions remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate scandals or extreme turnout anomalies before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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