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降息 預測與賠率

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Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

28%

December Meeting

$2M 交易量

$162K Liq.

17

Ends 大約 1 個月內

ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

12%

$27.9K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

10%

$105K 交易量

$4.1K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

71%

0 (0 bps)

$27M 交易量

$207K today

$1M Liq.

74

Ends 8 個月內

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

81%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.3K 交易量

$75.8K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

93%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$49.0K 交易量

$50.3K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M 交易量

$75.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

24%

October Meeting

$149K 交易量

$61.3K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

49%

25 bps increase

$49 交易量

$1.0K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Bank of England decision in July?

Bank of England decision in July?

62%

No change

$358 交易量

$5.4K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

80%

No change

$15.3K 交易量

$263K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

24%

↓ 3.25%

$1M 交易量

$138K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

94%

No change

$6M 交易量

$51.7K today

$751K Liq.

1

Ends 2 個月內

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

53%

No change

$524 交易量

$13.3K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

98%

No change

$31M 交易量

$2M today

$4M Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

58%

3.75%

$7M 交易量

$153K Liq.

7

Ends 7 個月內

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

8%

$15.7K 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

2%

$17.0K 交易量

$26.3K Liq.

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

87%

Increase

$10.5K 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

80%

Decrease

$41.1K 交易量

$10.0K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 降息.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for 降息 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed rate cut by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $74.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ECB rate cut in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed Decision in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed Decision in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 降息 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.