Gold futures for June 2026 (GCM6) trade near $4,703 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on near-term downside pressure from a resurgent US dollar index amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict's inflationary oil shocks. Paradoxically, geopolitical risks have fueled higher Treasury yields—10-year notes above 4.5%—and elevated Fed funds rate expectations following March's policy hold, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion despite record central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Recent nonfarm payroll strength further dimmed rate-cut odds. Key catalysts ahead include this week's FOMC minutes, April CPI data on April 15, and June's final contract roll, with Wall Street forecasts clustering around $5,000–$6,200 by quarter-end on sustained diversification demand.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,446,495 交易量
2026-06-30
↑ $10,000
1%
↑ $8,500
1%
↑ $9,000
1%
↑ $8,000
2%
↑ $7,000
2%
↑ $6,500
4%
↑ $6,200
8%
↑ 6,000美元
9%
↑ $5,700
19%
↑ $5,500
26%
↓ 4,200美元
41%
↓ $3,800
16%
↓ 3,400美元
4%
$3,446,495 交易量
↑ $10,000
$132,854 交易量
1%
↑ $8,500
$226,229 交易量
1%
↑ $9,000
$97,128 交易量
1%
↑ $8,000
$298,095 交易量
2%
↑ $7,000
$411,429 交易量
2%
↑ $6,500
$208,707 交易量
4%
↑ $6,200
$80,434 交易量
8%
↑ 6,000美元
$244,140 交易量
9%
↑ $5,700
$56,318 交易量
19%
↑ $5,500
$1,026,518 交易量
26%
↓ 4,200美元
$215,757 交易量
41%
↓ $3,800
$55,706 交易量
16%
↓ 3,400美元
$340,305 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures for June 2026 (GCM6) trade near $4,703 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on near-term downside pressure from a resurgent US dollar index amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict's inflationary oil shocks. Paradoxically, geopolitical risks have fueled higher Treasury yields—10-year notes above 4.5%—and elevated Fed funds rate expectations following March's policy hold, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion despite record central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Recent nonfarm payroll strength further dimmed rate-cut odds. Key catalysts ahead include this week's FOMC minutes, April CPI data on April 15, and June's final contract roll, with Wall Street forecasts clustering around $5,000–$6,200 by quarter-end on sustained diversification demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間： Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$3,446,495結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures for June 2026 (GCM6) trade near $4,703 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on near-term downside pressure from a resurgent US dollar index amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict's inflationary oil shocks. Paradoxically, geopolitical risks have fueled higher Treasury yields—10-year notes above 4.5%—and elevated Fed funds rate expectations following March's policy hold, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion despite record central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Recent nonfarm payroll strength further dimmed rate-cut odds. Key catalysts ahead include this week's FOMC minutes, April CPI data on April 15, and June's final contract roll, with Wall Street forecasts clustering around $5,000–$6,200 by quarter-end on sustained diversification demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$3,446,495結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ETGold futures for June 2026 (GCM6) trade near $4,703 per ounce, reflecting trader consensus on near-term downside pressure from a resurgent US dollar index amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict's inflationary oil shocks. Paradoxically, geopolitical risks have fueled higher Treasury yields—10-year notes above 4.5%—and elevated Fed funds rate expectations following March's policy hold, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion despite record central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Recent nonfarm payroll strength further dimmed rate-cut odds. Key catalysts ahead include this week's FOMC minutes, April CPI data on April 15, and June's final contract roll, with Wall Street forecasts clustering around $5,000–$6,200 by quarter-end on sustained diversification demand.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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