Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for June 2026 silver futures (SI) settlement—peaking at 15.6% for $60-$70, followed by $70-$80 (14.7%) and others in the 10-15% range—reflect heightened uncertainty after silver's 5% plunge to around $71 per ounce last week, driven by a surging U.S. dollar and oil price spikes tied to Trump tariff rhetoric. Robust industrial demand from solar photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and semiconductors underpins mid-$60s to $90 support amid a projected sixth consecutive annual supply deficit of 67 million ounces, yet competes with monetary tightening risks and Fed funds rate path. Key swing factors include April CPI data and May FOMC signals, with historical gold-silver ratios suggesting outperformance if inflation reaccelerates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於60-70美元 15.8%
70至80美元 14.7%
80至90美元 15%
$50-$60 14.1%
$447,337 交易量
$447,337 交易量
2026-06-30
低於50美元
13%
$50-$60
14%
60-70美元
16%
70至80美元
15%
80至90美元
15%
$90-$100
11%
100至115美元
10%
>$115
13%
60-70美元 15.8%
70至80美元 14.7%
80至90美元 15%
$50-$60 14.1%
$447,337 交易量
$447,337 交易量
2026-06-30
低於50美元
$59,921 交易量
13%
$50-$60
$50,373 交易量
14%
60-70美元
$50,636 交易量
16%
70至80美元
$35,598 交易量
15%
80至90美元
$22,873 交易量
15%
$90-$100
$31,659 交易量
11%
100至115美元
$39,147 交易量
10%
>$115
$157,129 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for June 2026 silver futures (SI) settlement—peaking at 15.6% for $60-$70, followed by $70-$80 (14.7%) and others in the 10-15% range—reflect heightened uncertainty after silver's 5% plunge to around $71 per ounce last week, driven by a surging U.S. dollar and oil price spikes tied to Trump tariff rhetoric. Robust industrial demand from solar photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and semiconductors underpins mid-$60s to $90 support amid a projected sixth consecutive annual supply deficit of 67 million ounces, yet competes with monetary tightening risks and Fed funds rate path. Key swing factors include April CPI data and May FOMC signals, with historical gold-silver ratios suggesting outperformance if inflation reaccelerates.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
交易量
$447,337結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for June 2026 silver futures (SI) settlement—peaking at 15.6% for $60-$70, followed by $70-$80 (14.7%) and others in the 10-15% range—reflect heightened uncertainty after silver's 5% plunge to around $71 per ounce last week, driven by a surging U.S. dollar and oil price spikes tied to Trump tariff rhetoric. Robust industrial demand from solar photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and semiconductors underpins mid-$60s to $90 support amid a projected sixth consecutive annual supply deficit of 67 million ounces, yet competes with monetary tightening risks and Fed funds rate path. Key swing factors include April CPI data and May FOMC signals, with historical gold-silver ratios suggesting outperformance if inflation reaccelerates.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
交易量
$447,337結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETPolymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for June 2026 silver futures (SI) settlement—peaking at 15.6% for $60-$70, followed by $70-$80 (14.7%) and others in the 10-15% range—reflect heightened uncertainty after silver's 5% plunge to around $71 per ounce last week, driven by a surging U.S. dollar and oil price spikes tied to Trump tariff rhetoric. Robust industrial demand from solar photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and semiconductors underpins mid-$60s to $90 support amid a projected sixth consecutive annual supply deficit of 67 million ounces, yet competes with monetary tightening risks and Fed funds rate path. Key swing factors include April CPI data and May FOMC signals, with historical gold-silver ratios suggesting outperformance if inflation reaccelerates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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