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Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Market icon

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

65% 機率
Polymarket

$31,221 交易量

65% 機率
Polymarket

$31,221 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.House Democrats have intensified impeachment efforts against President Trump following U.S. airstrikes on Iran in early March, which critics labeled unconstitutional for bypassing Congress, alongside ongoing controversies over Jeffrey Epstein files and the abrupt April 2 dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi amid DOJ probes. Multiple resolutions, including H.Res.939 by Rep. Al Green, remain referred to the Judiciary Committee after motions to table passed narrowly, reflecting Republican House majority resistance. Traders' 65% "Yes" consensus on Polymarket implies expectation of GOP defections or a midterm House flip in November 2026 enabling a simple-majority impeachment vote before January 2029, despite low conviction odds in the GOP-led Senate.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$31,221
結束日期
2029-01-20
市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.House Democrats have intensified impeachment efforts against President Trump following U.S. airstrikes on Iran in early March, which critics labeled unconstitutional for bypassing Congress, alongside ongoing controversies over Jeffrey Epstein files and the abrupt April 2 dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi amid DOJ probes. Multiple resolutions, including H.Res.939 by Rep. Al Green, remain referred to the Judiciary Committee after motions to table passed narrowly, reflecting Republican House majority resistance. Traders' 65% "Yes" consensus on Polymarket implies expectation of GOP defections or a midterm House flip in November 2026 enabling a simple-majority impeachment vote before January 2029, despite low conviction odds in the GOP-led Senate.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$31,221
結束日期
2029-01-20
市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 65% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 65¢, the market collectively assigns a 65% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" has generated $31.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" is 65% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 65% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.