Republican control of the House with a slim 217-214 majority, including vacancies, forms the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing, as GOP leadership under Speaker Mike Johnson shows no interest in pursuing proceedings against President Trump despite past precedents. No articles of impeachment have been introduced or referred to committee in recent weeks, and Senate conviction remains improbable without 67 votes amid expected GOP dominance. Trader consensus at 95.7% "No" reflects the absence of catalyzing scandals, legal actions, or defections in the past 30 days, with the short window to June 30 further diminishing prospects. Late-breaking controversies, health events, or intra-party revolts could theoretically shift odds, though historical patterns favor stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$227,021 交易量
$227,021 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$227,021 交易量
$227,021 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House with a slim 217-214 majority, including vacancies, forms the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing, as GOP leadership under Speaker Mike Johnson shows no interest in pursuing proceedings against President Trump despite past precedents. No articles of impeachment have been introduced or referred to committee in recent weeks, and Senate conviction remains improbable without 67 votes amid expected GOP dominance. Trader consensus at 95.7% "No" reflects the absence of catalyzing scandals, legal actions, or defections in the past 30 days, with the short window to June 30 further diminishing prospects. Late-breaking controversies, health events, or intra-party revolts could theoretically shift odds, though historical patterns favor stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
交易量
$227,021結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House with a slim 217-214 majority, including vacancies, forms the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing, as GOP leadership under Speaker Mike Johnson shows no interest in pursuing proceedings against President Trump despite past precedents. No articles of impeachment have been introduced or referred to committee in recent weeks, and Senate conviction remains improbable without 67 votes amid expected GOP dominance. Trader consensus at 95.7% "No" reflects the absence of catalyzing scandals, legal actions, or defections in the past 30 days, with the short window to June 30 further diminishing prospects. Late-breaking controversies, health events, or intra-party revolts could theoretically shift odds, though historical patterns favor stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$227,021結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House with a slim 217-214 majority, including vacancies, forms the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing, as GOP leadership under Speaker Mike Johnson shows no interest in pursuing proceedings against President Trump despite past precedents. No articles of impeachment have been introduced or referred to committee in recent weeks, and Senate conviction remains improbable without 67 votes amid expected GOP dominance. Trader consensus at 95.7% "No" reflects the absence of catalyzing scandals, legal actions, or defections in the past 30 days, with the short window to June 30 further diminishing prospects. Late-breaking controversies, health events, or intra-party revolts could theoretically shift odds, though historical patterns favor stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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