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政治·特朗普

共和黨會使用「核選項」來打破阻礙嗎？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

共和黨會使用「核選項」來打破阻礙嗎？

$550,947 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$550,947 交易量

Polymarket

2026年3月31日

$30,793 交易量

1%

2026年12月31日

$4,180 交易量

51%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans, holding a 53-47 majority, face mounting internal pressure to invoke the nuclear option and eliminate or carve out the filibuster's 60-vote cloture threshold, primarily to advance the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship for federal voting amid Democratic obstruction. On March 28, Sen. Mike Lee urged GOP leaders to either enforce a demanding "talking filibuster" or fully nuke the rule, warning of midterm losses without action, while President Trump and allies like Sens. Ron Johnson and John Cornyn echo calls for reform. Majority Leader John Thune and skeptics resist, citing long-term risks, as the Senate recesses during a prolonged DHS funding impasse affecting 260,000 employees. Resolution hinges on procedural votes before any market deadline, with base frustration risking party unity.

Senate Republicans, holding a 53-47 majority, face mounting internal pressure to invoke the nuclear option and eliminate or carve out the filibuster's 60-vote cloture threshold, primarily to advance the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship for federal voting amid Democratic obstruction. On March 28, Sen. Mike Lee urged GOP leaders to either enforce a demanding "talking filibuster" or fully nuke the rule, warning of midterm losses without action, while President Trump and allies like Sens. Ron Johnson and John Cornyn echo calls for reform. Majority Leader John Thune and skeptics resist, citing long-term risks, as the Senate recesses during a prolonged DHS funding impasse affecting 260,000 employees. Resolution hinges on procedural votes before any market deadline, with base frustration risking party unity.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans, holding a 53-47 majority, face mounting internal pressure to invoke the nuclear option and eliminate or carve out the filibuster's 60-vote cloture threshold, primarily to advance the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship for federal voting amid Democratic obstruction. On March 28, Sen. Mike Lee urged GOP leaders to either enforce a demanding "talking filibuster" or fully nuke the rule, warning of midterm losses without action, while President Trump and allies like Sens. Ron Johnson and John Cornyn echo calls for reform. Majority Leader John Thune and skeptics resist, citing long-term risks, as the Senate recesses during a prolonged DHS funding impasse affecting 260,000 employees. Resolution hinges on procedural votes before any market deadline, with base frustration risking party unity.

Senate Republicans, holding a 53-47 majority, face mounting internal pressure to invoke the nuclear option and eliminate or carve out the filibuster's 60-vote cloture threshold, primarily to advance the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship for federal voting amid Democratic obstruction. On March 28, Sen. Mike Lee urged GOP leaders to either enforce a demanding "talking filibuster" or fully nuke the rule, warning of midterm losses without action, while President Trump and allies like Sens. Ron Johnson and John Cornyn echo calls for reform. Majority Leader John Thune and skeptics resist, citing long-term risks, as the Senate recesses during a prolonged DHS funding impasse affecting 260,000 employees. Resolution hinges on procedural votes before any market deadline, with base frustration risking party unity.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"共和黨會使用「核選項」來打破阻礙嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 51%, followed by "2026年3月31日" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "共和黨會使用「核選項」來打破阻礙嗎？" has generated $550.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "共和黨會使用「核選項」來打破阻礙嗎？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "共和黨會使用「核選項」來打破阻礙嗎？" is "2026年12月31日" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年3月31日" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "共和黨會使用「核選項」來打破阻礙嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.