Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at 88% implied probability for a March conversation with President Trump, reflecting confirmed diplomatic exchanges amid U.S. criticisms of alliance burden-sharing during the escalating Iran conflict, where Saudi Arabia and UAE have advanced toward all-out war with Tehran following recent missile strikes on U.S. bases. Chinese President Xi Jinping trades at 78% on high-volume bets tied to unconfirmed backchannel reports, while Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman sits at 47% after a verified phone call as Gulf tensions rise. Zelenskyy lags at 18% absent Ukraine breakthroughs. With resolution by March 31, late diplomatic announcements or Fox News interview revelations on March 29 could sway final positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$485,175 交易量

馬克·呂特
70%

習近平
44%

艾哈邁德·沙拉
24%

穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼
31%

教宗良十四世
13%

弗拉基米爾·澤連斯基
10%

Masoud Pezeshkian
4%

禮薩·巴列維
3%

金正恩
1%

MrBeast
1%

尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
<1%

尹錫悅
<1%
$485,175 交易量

馬克·呂特
70%

習近平
44%

艾哈邁德·沙拉
24%

穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼
31%

教宗良十四世
13%

弗拉基米爾·澤連斯基
10%

Masoud Pezeshkian
4%

禮薩·巴列維
3%

金正恩
1%

MrBeast
1%

尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
<1%

尹錫悅
<1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at 88% implied probability for a March conversation with President Trump, reflecting confirmed diplomatic exchanges amid U.S. criticisms of alliance burden-sharing during the escalating Iran conflict, where Saudi Arabia and UAE have advanced toward all-out war with Tehran following recent missile strikes on U.S. bases. Chinese President Xi Jinping trades at 78% on high-volume bets tied to unconfirmed backchannel reports, while Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman sits at 47% after a verified phone call as Gulf tensions rise. Zelenskyy lags at 18% absent Ukraine breakthroughs. With resolution by March 31, late diplomatic announcements or Fox News interview revelations on March 29 could sway final positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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