Market icon

哪家公司在6月底擁有第二好的AI模型?

Market icon

哪家公司在6月底擁有第二好的AI模型?

Anthropic 60%

Google 23%

DeepSeek 8.3%

xAI 6%

Polymarket

$334,726 交易量

Anthropic 60%

Google 23%

DeepSeek 8.3%

xAI 6%

Polymarket

$334,726 交易量

Market icon

Anthropic

$5,191 交易量

60%

Market icon

Google

$2,334 交易量

23%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$245,041 交易量

8%

Market icon

xAI

$11,208 交易量

6%

Market icon

OpenAI

$31,196 交易量

5%

Market icon

Z.ai

$4,908 交易量

1%

Market icon

阿里巴巴

$1,456 交易量

<1%

Market icon

美團

$30,674 交易量

<1%

Market icon

Mistral

$951 交易量

<1%

Market icon

Moonshot

$1,851 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Anthropic a 55% implied probability of holding the second-best AI model by end-June 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.6's dominant showings on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard—often ranking just behind OpenAI's GPT-5.4 in overall Elo scores, while leading in document reasoning and complex tasks following its February 2026 release. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro trails at 24.5% amid strong multimodal benchmarks but inconsistent reasoning edges, while DeepSeek's open-source V3.2 garners 8.4% for tying closed models in efficiency. Recent March waves of frontier releases from xAI's Grok 4.20 and others intensified competition, yet Anthropic's rapid iterations and rumored Claude Mythos preview at the May 6 Code with Claude event bolster its positioning, though product slips or surprise benchmarks could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$334,726
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Anthropic a 55% implied probability of holding the second-best AI model by end-June 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.6's dominant showings on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard—often ranking just behind OpenAI's GPT-5.4 in overall Elo scores, while leading in document reasoning and complex tasks following its February 2026 release. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro trails at 24.5% amid strong multimodal benchmarks but inconsistent reasoning edges, while DeepSeek's open-source V3.2 garners 8.4% for tying closed models in efficiency. Recent March waves of frontier releases from xAI's Grok 4.20 and others intensified competition, yet Anthropic's rapid iterations and rumored Claude Mythos preview at the May 6 Code with Claude event bolster its positioning, though product slips or surprise benchmarks could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$334,726
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪家公司在6月底擁有第二好的AI模型?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 60%, followed by "Google" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪家公司在6月底擁有第二好的AI模型?" has generated $334.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪家公司在6月底擁有第二好的AI模型?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪家公司在6月底擁有第二好的AI模型?" is "Anthropic" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Google" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪家公司在6月底擁有第二好的AI模型?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.