President Trump's recent focus on Iran tensions, including yesterday's claim that Iran seeks a deal amid threats over the Strait of Hormuz and remarks to reporters in Miami on the topic alongside Israel, China, and gas prices, drives trader consensus toward foreign policy phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "embargo" in this Polymarket tracking his statements from March 29 to April 5. With no confirmed public events scheduled beyond his Mar-a-Lago weekend, markets price in potential Truth Social posts or impromptu press interactions, echoing patterns from prior weeks' cabinet meetings and farmer addresses. Ongoing diplomatic signals and military posturing sustain elevated implied probabilities for escalation rhetoric, though unscheduled developments could shift sentiment rapidly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$463,867 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
18%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
7%
Ethanol
6%
Embargo
15%
Finish the Job
16%
Khamenei
10%
Chuck Norris
6%
$463,867 交易量
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$14,839 交易量
18%
Kaitlan Collins
$3,974 交易量
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,215 交易量
7%
Ethanol
$10,033 交易量
6%
Embargo
$8,343 交易量
15%
Finish the Job
$3,253 交易量
16%
Khamenei
$51,498 交易量
10%
Chuck Norris
$4,170 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent focus on Iran tensions, including yesterday's claim that Iran seeks a deal amid threats over the Strait of Hormuz and remarks to reporters in Miami on the topic alongside Israel, China, and gas prices, drives trader consensus toward foreign policy phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "embargo" in this Polymarket tracking his statements from March 29 to April 5. With no confirmed public events scheduled beyond his Mar-a-Lago weekend, markets price in potential Truth Social posts or impromptu press interactions, echoing patterns from prior weeks' cabinet meetings and farmer addresses. Ongoing diplomatic signals and military posturing sustain elevated implied probabilities for escalation rhetoric, though unscheduled developments could shift sentiment rapidly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$463,867結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent focus on Iran tensions, including yesterday's claim that Iran seeks a deal amid threats over the Strait of Hormuz and remarks to reporters in Miami on the topic alongside Israel, China, and gas prices, drives trader consensus toward foreign policy phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "embargo" in this Polymarket tracking his statements from March 29 to April 5. With no confirmed public events scheduled beyond his Mar-a-Lago weekend, markets price in potential Truth Social posts or impromptu press interactions, echoing patterns from prior weeks' cabinet meetings and farmer addresses. Ongoing diplomatic signals and military posturing sustain elevated implied probabilities for escalation rhetoric, though unscheduled developments could shift sentiment rapidly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$463,867結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent focus on Iran tensions, including yesterday's claim that Iran seeks a deal amid threats over the Strait of Hormuz and remarks to reporters in Miami on the topic alongside Israel, China, and gas prices, drives trader consensus toward foreign policy phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "embargo" in this Polymarket tracking his statements from March 29 to April 5. With no confirmed public events scheduled beyond his Mar-a-Lago weekend, markets price in potential Truth Social posts or impromptu press interactions, echoing patterns from prior weeks' cabinet meetings and farmer addresses. Ongoing diplomatic signals and military posturing sustain elevated implied probabilities for escalation rhetoric, though unscheduled developments could shift sentiment rapidly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions