Recent opinion polls, such as CNN-News18's VoteTracker projecting 184-194 seats for AITC and ABP-Matrize's 155-170 estimate, drive trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability for All India Trinamool Congress to win the most seats in West Bengal's 294-member Legislative Assembly, with polling set for April 23 and 29. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's enduring appeal, strategic candidate replacements to counter anti-incumbency, and robust vote share leads in southern strongholds underpin this positioning, despite Bharatiya Janata Party's intensification via Union Home Minister Amit Shah's recent "chargesheet" alleging anarchy and infiltration. Special Intensive Revision deletions of over 62 lakh voters from electoral rolls have fueled polarization and uncertainty, yet BJP trails at 25.5% odds per polling averages, while CPI(M), INC, CPI, and BGPM remain marginal at 0.1% each.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於全印草根大會（AITC） 72%
印度人民黨（BJP） 26%
印度共產黨（CPI） <1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%
$71,708 交易量
$71,708 交易量
Apr 29, 2026
全印草根大會（AITC）
72%
印度人民黨（BJP）
26%
印度共產黨（CPI）
<1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
<1%
印度國民大會黨（INC）
<1%
BGPM
<1%
全印草根大會（AITC） 72%
印度人民黨（BJP） 26%
印度共產黨（CPI） <1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%
$71,708 交易量
$71,708 交易量
Apr 29, 2026
全印草根大會（AITC）
$27,087 交易量
72%
印度人民黨（BJP）
$24,980 交易量
26%
印度共產黨（CPI）
$0 交易量
<1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
$0 交易量
<1%
印度國民大會黨（INC）
$19,642 交易量
<1%
BGPM
$0 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Recent opinion polls, such as CNN-News18's VoteTracker projecting 184-194 seats for AITC and ABP-Matrize's 155-170 estimate, drive trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability for All India Trinamool Congress to win the most seats in West Bengal's 294-member Legislative Assembly, with polling set for April 23 and 29. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's enduring appeal, strategic candidate replacements to counter anti-incumbency, and robust vote share leads in southern strongholds underpin this positioning, despite Bharatiya Janata Party's intensification via Union Home Minister Amit Shah's recent "chargesheet" alleging anarchy and infiltration. Special Intensive Revision deletions of over 62 lakh voters from electoral rolls have fueled polarization and uncertainty, yet BJP trails at 25.5% odds per polling averages, while CPI(M), INC, CPI, and BGPM remain marginal at 0.1% each.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
交易量
$71,708結束日期
Apr 29, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Recent opinion polls, such as CNN-News18's VoteTracker projecting 184-194 seats for AITC and ABP-Matrize's 155-170 estimate, drive trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability for All India Trinamool Congress to win the most seats in West Bengal's 294-member Legislative Assembly, with polling set for April 23 and 29. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's enduring appeal, strategic candidate replacements to counter anti-incumbency, and robust vote share leads in southern strongholds underpin this positioning, despite Bharatiya Janata Party's intensification via Union Home Minister Amit Shah's recent "chargesheet" alleging anarchy and infiltration. Special Intensive Revision deletions of over 62 lakh voters from electoral rolls have fueled polarization and uncertainty, yet BJP trails at 25.5% odds per polling averages, while CPI(M), INC, CPI, and BGPM remain marginal at 0.1% each.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
交易量
$71,708結束日期
Apr 29, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls, such as CNN-News18's VoteTracker projecting 184-194 seats for AITC and ABP-Matrize's 155-170 estimate, drive trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability for All India Trinamool Congress to win the most seats in West Bengal's 294-member Legislative Assembly, with polling set for April 23 and 29. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's enduring appeal, strategic candidate replacements to counter anti-incumbency, and robust vote share leads in southern strongholds underpin this positioning, despite Bharatiya Janata Party's intensification via Union Home Minister Amit Shah's recent "chargesheet" alleging anarchy and infiltration. Special Intensive Revision deletions of over 62 lakh voters from electoral rolls have fueled polarization and uncertainty, yet BJP trails at 25.5% odds per polling averages, while CPI(M), INC, CPI, and BGPM remain marginal at 0.1% each.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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