Incumbent DMK alliance commands 81% trader consensus for victory in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, driven by recent Agni News Service and similar opinion polls projecting 180+ seats amid welfare schemes and MK Stalin's governance record since the 2021 win. AIADMK trails at 14% as its BJP alliance struggles with coordination and internal rifts, including O Panneerselvam's reported DMK candidacy shift. TVK garners 6% on actor Vijay's debut momentum, though surveys limit it to 2-12 seats despite rally controversies. Nominations open March 30, with DMK's fresh candidate list—60 new faces, Stalin from Kolathur—bolstering positioning in the 234-seat contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK） 81%
ADMK 14.2%
TVK 5.9%
全印度草根大會黨（AITC） <1%
$177,439 交易量
$177,439 交易量
Apr 23, 2026
德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK）
81%
ADMK
14%
TVK
6%
全印度草根大會黨（AITC）
<1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
<1%
印度人民黨（BJP）
<1%
德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK）
<1%
巴胡詹社會黨（BSP）
<1%
印度共產黨（CPI）
<1%
印度國民大會黨（INC）
<1%
NPEP
<1%
全國國民大會黨（NCP）
<1%
德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK） 81%
ADMK 14.2%
TVK 5.9%
全印度草根大會黨（AITC） <1%
$177,439 交易量
$177,439 交易量
Apr 23, 2026
德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK）
$18,614 交易量
81%
ADMK
$15,207 交易量
14%
TVK
$26,675 交易量
6%
全印度草根大會黨（AITC）
$18,817 交易量
<1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
$19,223 交易量
<1%
印度人民黨（BJP）
$14,668 交易量
<1%
德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK）
$12,329 交易量
<1%
巴胡詹社會黨（BSP）
$12,144 交易量
<1%
印度共產黨（CPI）
$0 交易量
<1%
印度國民大會黨（INC）
$16,186 交易量
<1%
NPEP
$12,372 交易量
<1%
全國國民大會黨（NCP）
$11,205 交易量
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK alliance commands 81% trader consensus for victory in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, driven by recent Agni News Service and similar opinion polls projecting 180+ seats amid welfare schemes and MK Stalin's governance record since the 2021 win. AIADMK trails at 14% as its BJP alliance struggles with coordination and internal rifts, including O Panneerselvam's reported DMK candidacy shift. TVK garners 6% on actor Vijay's debut momentum, though surveys limit it to 2-12 seats despite rally controversies. Nominations open March 30, with DMK's fresh candidate list—60 new faces, Stalin from Kolathur—bolstering positioning in the 234-seat contest.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
交易量
$177,439結束日期
Apr 23, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK alliance commands 81% trader consensus for victory in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, driven by recent Agni News Service and similar opinion polls projecting 180+ seats amid welfare schemes and MK Stalin's governance record since the 2021 win. AIADMK trails at 14% as its BJP alliance struggles with coordination and internal rifts, including O Panneerselvam's reported DMK candidacy shift. TVK garners 6% on actor Vijay's debut momentum, though surveys limit it to 2-12 seats despite rally controversies. Nominations open March 30, with DMK's fresh candidate list—60 new faces, Stalin from Kolathur—bolstering positioning in the 234-seat contest.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$177,439結束日期
Apr 23, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent DMK alliance commands 81% trader consensus for victory in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, driven by recent Agni News Service and similar opinion polls projecting 180+ seats amid welfare schemes and MK Stalin's governance record since the 2021 win. AIADMK trails at 14% as its BJP alliance struggles with coordination and internal rifts, including O Panneerselvam's reported DMK candidacy shift. TVK garners 6% on actor Vijay's debut momentum, though surveys limit it to 2-12 seats despite rally controversies. Nominations open March 30, with DMK's fresh candidate list—60 new faces, Stalin from Kolathur—bolstering positioning in the 234-seat contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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